Sounds exciting: Spacex is on the Moon Base problem...
Thursday, December 18, 2025
Exciting
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
The_Case
The New York Times has been investigating the tortuous issue of how Jeffrey Epstein -
from a modest background - got to be very rich:
One find from the article, an opinion-piece by Harvard's Allan Dershowitz on statutory
rape laws:
I'm not on board with this kind of argument: it's a bit like saying we should get
rid of light-directed pedestrian crossings because some people jaywalk and don't
get hurt!!
Electric
Electric cars seem to be having a difficult moment in North America. Below, the consumer
standpoint:
Copilot:
What is the tariff in Canada for an imported Chinese-made electric car?
The tariff in Canada on imported Chinese-made electric cars is currently set at 100%. This surtax was introduced in October 2024 and applies to electric and certain hybrid vehicles manufactured in China.
π Detailed Explanation
Tariff Rate:
Canada imposes a 100% surtax on Chinese-made electric vehicles (EVs). This effectively doubles the price of these cars when imported into Canada.
Implementation Date:
The surtax came into effect on October 1, 2024, under the China Surtax Order (2024) administered by the Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA).
Scope of Vehicles:
The tariff applies broadly to electric passenger cars, plug-in hybrids, buses, trucks, and delivery vans manufactured in China.
Reason for Tariff:
Canada introduced this measure to protect domestic workers and supply chains from what it considers unfair trade practices. It also aligned with similar moves by the United States, which imposed its own 100% tariff on Chinese EVs.
Current Developments:
There are rumors and discussions that Canada may reconsider or even remove this tariff. Reports in late 2025 suggested that Prime Minister Mark Carney was exploring the possibility of lifting the surtax during trade talks with China. This would significantly change the EV market in Canada, potentially allowing cheaper Chinese EVs to enter.
π What This Means for Canadian Buyers
Price Impact: A Chinese EV priced at $40,000 in China would cost about $80,000 in Canada after the tariff.
Market Effect: The tariff has largely kept Chinese EVs out of Canada, unlike in Britain where low tariffs have allowed brands like BYD and Chery to gain market share quickly.
Future Outlook: If Canada removes or reduces the tariff, Canadian consumers could see a flood of affordable Chinese EVs, reshaping the market and increasing competition with Tesla, Hyundai, and domestic players.
Would you like me to compare this Canadian tariff situation with Britain’s approach (where tariffs are much lower and Chinese EVs are booming)? That contrast is quite striking and could give you a clearer picture of how policy shapes consumer options.
* * *
The View from Britain(NY Times):
https://archive.ph/KEa5HTuesday, December 16, 2025
Les_Pros
I was asked to explain about prostitution law in Canada. Copilot is doing the lifting.
here, and as always, stopping me from romanticizing anything. Below:
Is prostitution legal in the UK, as in Canada?
Direct Answer: In the UK, prostitution itself (selling sex) is legal, but many related activities are criminalized. In Canada, selling sex is technically legal, but buying sex, advertising sexual services, or profiting from someone else’s sex work are illegal under federal law.
π¬π§ Prostitution in the United Kingdom
Legal status: The act of exchanging sex for money is legal in England, Wales, and Scotland.
Illegal activities include:
Soliciting in public places
Kerb crawling (approaching sex workers from vehicles)
Owning or managing a brothel
Pimping or controlling a sex worker for gain
Northern Ireland exception: Since June 2015, paying for sex is illegal there.
Practical impact: This creates a legal grey area—sex workers can operate, but many ways of organizing or advertising their services are criminalized, leaving them vulnerable to exploitation and limiting their ability to work safely.
π¨π¦ Prostitution in Canada
Legal status: Selling your own sexual services is not a crime.
Illegal activities under Bill C-36 (2014):
Purchasing sexual services
Communicating in public for the purpose of buying sex
Advertising sexual services (except self-promotion)
Profiting materially from another person’s sex work
Philosophy of the law: Canada treats prostitution as a form of sexual exploitation and aims to reduce demand. The law is designed to protect sex workers but in practice, many argue it increases risks by pushing the industry underground.
Penalties: Buyers and third parties face serious criminal charges, with sentences up to 14 years in cases involving minors.
⚖️ Key Takeaway
UK: Sex work is partially decriminalized, but heavily restricted.
Canada: Sex work is legal only in very narrow circumstances; the law criminalizes buyers and most surrounding activities.
This means that while both countries technically allow individuals to sell sex, the surrounding legal frameworks make it difficult to do so openly or safely.
Would you like me to also map out how these laws affect practical realities for sex workers (e.g., safety, enforcement, and social stigma) in each country? That could give you a clearer sense of how “legal” plays out in practice.
What about the US?
Direct Answer: In the United States, prostitution is illegal in 49 states. The only exception is Nevada, where prostitution is legal but only in licensed brothels located in certain rural counties. Everywhere else, both selling and buying sex are criminal offenses.
πΊπΈ Prostitution Laws in the United States
Federal vs. State:
The U.S. Constitution does not give the federal government general authority over prostitution. Regulation is left to the states under the Tenth Amendment.
Congress can regulate interstate aspects (e.g., trafficking) through laws like the Mann Act.
Nevada Exception:
Nevada is the only state where prostitution is legal, and even then, only in licensed brothels in certain rural counties.
Brothels must follow strict rules: mandatory condom use, regular health checks, and county-specific licensing.
Prostitution remains illegal in Nevada’s major cities (Las Vegas, Reno, Carson City).
Other States:
Prostitution is illegal everywhere else, though enforcement varies.
Rhode Island briefly had a loophole (1980–2009) where indoor prostitution was decriminalized, but this was later closed.
Maine recently decriminalized selling sex but still criminalizes buying sex.
⚖️ Practical Realities
Enforcement: Despite being illegal almost everywhere, prostitution occurs in all states. A 2008 report estimated that 15–20% of U.S. men have paid for sex.
Risks: Criminalization often pushes sex work underground, increasing risks of exploitation and violence.
Debate: Advocates argue for decriminalization to improve safety and health outcomes, while opponents see legalization as legitimizing exploitation.
Key Takeaway:
United States: Prostitution is almost entirely illegal, with Nevada’s rural brothels as the only legal exception.
Compared to the UK and Canada, the U.S. has the strictest prohibition, with very limited legal tolerance.
Would you like me to also break down Nevada’s county-by-county rules so you can see exactly where prostitution is legal in practice?
What about France?
Direct Answer: In France, selling sex is legal, but since 2016 it is illegal to buy sex. Brothels have been banned since 1946, and third-party exploitation (pimping, trafficking, profiting from another’s sex work) is criminalized.
π«π· Prostitution Laws in France
Selling sex: Legal. Individuals can offer sexual services without facing criminal charges.
Buying sex: Illegal since April 2016. Clients face fines of €1,500 for a first offense, rising to €3,750 for repeat offenses.
Brothels: Outlawed in 1946 (“maisons closes” were shut down after WWII).
Third-party activities: Pimping, trafficking, or profiting from another person’s sex work are criminal offenses.
Policy rationale: The 2016 law aimed to reduce demand and protect sex workers from exploitation, shifting criminal responsibility onto buyers rather than sellers.
⚖️ Historical Context
Napoleonic era: France pioneered a regulatory model, with state-controlled brothels and medical checks.
1946 Marthe Richard law: Closed brothels permanently, citing public morality and women’s rights.
2016 reform: Marked a major shift, criminalizing clients while decriminalizing sex workers.
π Current Debates
Far-right proposals: Marine Le Pen’s National Rally has recently proposed reopening brothels as cooperatives run by sex workers, arguing this would improve safety and hygiene.
Criticism of current law: Advocates say criminalizing buyers pushes prostitution underground, making sex workers more vulnerable. Supporters argue it reduces exploitation and discourages demand.
✅ Key Takeaway
France follows the “Nordic model”: sex workers are not criminalized, but clients are. This makes France closer to Canada’s approach than to the UK’s, though debates about reopening brothels show the issue remains politically contested.
Would you like me to also outline how enforcement works in practice in France—for example, whether police focus more on clients, trafficking networks, or public solicitation?
Things seem pretty open and closed in Canada: the woman can offer sexual services but no one can buy them. Where is the loophole?
Great observation — it does look paradoxical at first glance. In Canada, the Protection of Communities and Exploited Persons Act (PCEPA, 2014) created what seems like a closed circle: sex workers can legally sell services, but clients cannot legally buy them. Yet in practice, several loopholes and grey zones exist:
⚖️ The Legal Framework
Selling sex: Legal if you are selling your own services.
Buying sex: Illegal — clients face fines or criminal charges.
Advertising: Illegal, except if a sex worker advertises their own services.
Third-party profit: Illegal (pimps, brothel owners, escort agencies).
π Where the Loopholes Appear
Self-advertising online
Sex workers can legally post ads for their own services (on websites or social media).
Platforms hosting these ads may be in a grey zone — technically illegal, but enforcement is inconsistent.
Enforcement priorities
Police often target trafficking networks or exploitative third parties rather than individual buyers.
This means many transactions still occur, even though buyers are technically criminalized.
Indoor vs. outdoor work
Communicating in public for the purpose of buying sex is illegal.
But private arrangements (through online ads or referrals) are harder to police, creating a de facto loophole.
Third-party “support” roles
While profiting from another’s sex work is illegal, some roles (drivers, security, website designers) may be tolerated if they’re framed as legitimate business services rather than exploitation.
Court challenges & constitutional debates
Some argue the law violates sex workers’ rights to security by forcing the industry underground.
Ongoing legal challenges mean parts of the law are applied unevenly across provinces.
π Practical Reality
The law’s intent was to protect sex workers by criminalizing demand, but in practice it creates contradictions:
Sex workers can advertise and offer services.
Clients can see those ads but risk prosecution if they respond.
Enforcement is patchy, so the market continues, but under constant legal uncertainty.
✅ Key Takeaway
The “loophole” is that sex workers can legally advertise and sell, but enforcement against buyers is inconsistent. This creates a shadow market where transactions still happen, but both parties operate under risk — sex workers legally, clients illegally.
Would you like me to show you real-world examples of how Canadian sex workers navigate these loopholes (like online platforms, safety strategies, and provincial enforcement differences)? That would make the paradox much clearer in practice.
I have read that, in France, the right wing party to the Presidency would like to see brothels operate openly on a collectivist basis. What can you tell me about that?
Direct Answer: Yes — France’s far-right party National Rally (RN), led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, has proposed reopening brothels, but under a collectivist model where they would be run as sex-worker cooperatives. The idea is to replace the current ban with regulated, enclosed spaces that prioritize safety and hygiene.
π«π· What the Proposal Entails
Brothels (“maisons closes”) were banned in 1946 under the Marthe Richard law.
RN lawmakers, including Jean-Philippe Tanguy, have drafted a bill to reintroduce legal brothels.
These would be cooperatives managed directly by sex workers, not pimps or third parties.
The stated goal is to reduce unsafe, underground prostitution by creating secure, regulated environments.
Bardella argued that prostitution exists regardless of prohibition, so it should be moved into “secure enclosed spaces”.
⚖️ Political Context
Current law (2016): Selling sex is legal, but buying sex is criminalized, with fines up to €1,500 for first-time offenders.
RN’s proposal challenges this “Nordic model” by shifting focus back to regulated brothels.
Marine Le Pen has supported the initiative, framing it as a public health and safety measure rather than moral endorsement.
π Supporters vs. Critics
Supporters say:
Criminalizing clients has pushed prostitution underground.
Cooperatives would empower sex workers, giving them control over conditions.
Regulation could improve hygiene and reduce exploitation.
Critics argue:
Brothel-only models risk replicating past harms, concentrating power in institutions.
Many sex-worker advocacy groups refuse to ally with the far-right, fearing ulterior motives.
Feminist organizations warn that reopening brothels could normalize exploitation.
✅ Key Takeaway
The RN proposal is radical in French politics: it would overturn nearly 80 years of prohibition on brothels and replace the Nordic model with a collectivist, cooperative system. While framed as a safety measure, it has sparked fierce debate about exploitation, morality, and whether the far-right is using sex work policy to broaden its appeal.
Would you like me to also outline how this proposal compares to Germany and the Netherlands, where brothels are already legal and regulated? That would give you a sense of whether RN’s idea is closer to European norms or a uniquely French twist.
Yes...
Perfect — let’s map France’s brothel debate against countries where regulated prostitution already exists, so you can see how the National Rally’s collectivist idea fits into the wider European picture.
π©πͺ Germany
Legal status: Prostitution is fully legal and regulated since 2002.
Brothels: Legal, licensed, and operate openly.
Worker rights: Sex workers can register, pay taxes, and access health insurance.
Criticism: Despite legalization, many argue exploitation persists, with large brothels sometimes controlled by organized crime.
π³π± Netherlands
Legal status: Prostitution legalized in 2000.
Brothels: Legal and regulated, especially in Amsterdam’s famous Red Light District.
Worker rights: Sex workers can operate independently or in brothels, with municipal oversight.
Criticism: Authorities have tried to shrink the Red Light District, citing trafficking concerns.
π«π· France (RN Proposal)
Current law: Selling sex legal, buying sex illegal (Nordic model).
Proposal: Reopen brothels, but as cooperatives run by sex workers themselves.
Difference: Unlike Germany or the Netherlands, RN emphasizes collectivist ownership rather than private brothel operators.
Goal: Reduce underground prostitution, improve safety, and give sex workers more autonomy.
✅ Key Takeaway
France’s far-right proposal is unique in Europe: instead of copying Germany or the Netherlands’ private brothel model, it suggests collectivist, worker-run brothels. This is framed as empowering sex workers, but critics worry it could normalize exploitation or serve as a populist gesture.
Louise, since you’re interested in comparative institutional design, this debate is a fascinating case of policy borrowing with a twist: France is looking at European neighbors but trying to reframe the model through cooperative ownership.
Would you like me to dig into how sex-worker advocacy groups in France are responding to this proposal? That would show whether they see it as genuine empowerment or political opportunism.
I don't know...sex work is bad enough, but sitting on committees to manage the place on top of that seems...weird!
I see what you mean — the idea of sex workers not only doing the work but also sitting on committees to manage brothels does sound unusual. It’s a very different model from what we see in Germany or the Netherlands, where brothels are typically run by private operators or municipalities.
The French far-right proposal tries to frame this as worker empowerment: instead of being managed by pimps or business owners, sex workers themselves would form cooperatives, set rules, and oversee operations. In theory, that’s meant to give them more autonomy and reduce exploitation. But in practice, as you point out, it could feel like piling bureaucracy on top of an already difficult and stigmatized profession.
There are a few tensions here:
⚖️ Empowerment vs. burden: Committees could give sex workers control, but they also add administrative responsibilities that many might not want.
π️ Symbolic politics: Proposing “collectivist brothels” lets the party signal it’s tackling safety and exploitation, but critics argue it’s more about political branding than practical reform.
π Practical feasibility: Running a cooperative requires trust, organization, and legal protections. In a stigmatized industry, those conditions are hard to guarantee.
So your instinct — that it feels “weird” — is actually spot-on. It’s a clash between theory (collective empowerment) and practice (the realities of sex work and stigma).
Would you like me to unpack how sex-worker advocacy groups in France are responding to this idea? That would show whether they see it as genuine empowerment or just another layer of control dressed up as reform.
Go ahead!
Direct Answer: French sex‑worker advocacy groups have reacted with deep skepticism to the far‑right National Rally’s proposal to reopen brothels as cooperatives. While the party frames it as empowerment, many sex‑worker organizations argue it risks normalizing exploitation and is politically opportunistic rather than genuinely protective.
π«π· Advocacy Group Responses
Suspicion of motives: Many sex‑worker collectives refuse to ally with the far‑right, seeing the proposal as a way for RN to broaden its political appeal rather than improve conditions.
Concerns about “brothel‑only” models: Critics warn that restricting sex work to cooperatives could replicate past harms, concentrating power in institutions and limiting autonomy.
Safety vs. stigma: Groups argue that the 2016 law criminalizing clients already pushed prostitution underground, but they doubt brothels would solve this without tackling stigma and broader social protections.
Empowerment rhetoric: RN lawmaker Jean‑Philippe Tanguy described sex workers as “empresses in their kingdom”, but advocacy groups see this as symbolic language that doesn’t address real risks like violence, trafficking, and police harassment.
⚖️ Broader Debate
Supporters of RN’s plan say criminalizing clients has made sex workers’ lives more precarious, exposing them to violence and unsafe conditions.
Opponents counter that brothels, even as cooperatives, could institutionalize exploitation and fail to address the root causes of vulnerability.
Feminist organizations remain divided: some support decriminalization of clients to reduce underground risks, while others argue any brothel system perpetuates commodification of women.
π Comparative Context
In Germany and the Netherlands, brothels are legal but run by private operators, often criticized for exploitation.
RN’s collectivist cooperative model is unusual in Europe — it claims to empower sex workers by giving them management control, but advocacy groups doubt this would translate into real autonomy.
✅ Key Takeaway
Sex‑worker advocacy groups in France largely view the RN proposal as political theater: it uses the language of empowerment but risks reinforcing stigma and institutional control. The debate highlights a clash between symbolic rhetoric (“empresses in their kingdom”) and the practical realities of sex work, where safety, autonomy, and social protections matter more than committee structures.
Louise, your instinct that “sitting on committees to manage the place” feels odd is echoed by many advocates — they see it as bureaucratic burden dressed up as empowerment.
Would you like me to also show how French feminist groups differ from sex‑worker collectives on this issue? That split is quite revealing about how the debate is framed in French politics.
What about kept mistresses in Europe, and Sugar Babies in America. These seem like quasi prostitution... Wealthy men can and do financially support women. The prostituion debate seems centered on sexual practice, with none of the human continuing interaction between people. That really is dehumanizing and violent!!
You’ve put your finger on something that scholars and policymakers often struggle with: the line between formal prostitution and informal arrangements like “kept mistresses” in Europe’s past or “sugar baby” relationships in the U.S. today. These relationships blur the boundaries because they involve financial support tied to intimacy, but they’re framed socially and legally very differently.
π️ Historical Context: Kept Mistresses in Europe
18th–19th centuries: Aristocrats and wealthy men often maintained mistresses, providing housing, clothing, and financial support.
Social status: These women were sometimes celebrated in salons or the arts, but also stigmatized as dependent.
Legal status: Not considered prostitution, because the relationship was ongoing, often exclusive, and embedded in social networks.
Power dynamics: The arrangement was unequal — financial dependence gave men control, but mistresses sometimes gained influence in court politics or culture.
πΊπΈ Modern Parallel: Sugar Babies in America
Definition: Young women (or men) receive financial support, gifts, or tuition help from “sugar daddies/mommies” in exchange for companionship, often including sex.
Platforms: Websites and apps explicitly connect people for these arrangements.
Legal status: Not classified as prostitution, because the relationship is framed as “dating with benefits” rather than a direct transaction for sex.
Criticism: Many argue it’s functionally similar to prostitution, but cloaked in the language of relationships and lifestyle.
⚖️ Why They’re Treated Differently
Continuity vs. transaction: Prostitution laws focus on discrete sexual transactions. Mistresses and sugar babies involve ongoing relationships with emotional and social dimensions.
Social framing: Mistresses were often integrated into elite culture; sugar babies frame their role as “companionship” rather than “sex work.”
Legal loophole: Because money is given as “support” or “gifts,” not explicitly for sex, it avoids prostitution statutes.
π Your Point: Dehumanization
You’re right that debates often reduce prostitution to sexual practice stripped of human interaction, ignoring the relational aspects. That’s why many find the legal distinction troubling:
A one‑time transaction is criminalized.
A long‑term financial arrangement with sex involved is tolerated, even glamorized.
Both can involve unequal power, dependency, and vulnerability, but only one is stigmatized as “prostitution.”
✅ Key Takeaway
Mistresses and sugar babies show how society tolerates sex-for-support when it’s wrapped in ongoing relationships and social legitimacy.
Prostitution debates often ignore these relational dynamics, focusing narrowly on sexual practice, which can feel dehumanizing and violent in its abstraction.
The real issue is power and dependency: whether in brothels, mistresses’ apartments, or sugar baby arrangements, the imbalance of wealth and vulnerability shapes the human experience far more than the legal label.
Louise, since you’re attuned to institutional design and human realities, this is a perfect example of how law and culture construct categories that don’t always match lived experience.
Would you like me to trace how different feminist schools of thought interpret these arrangements — some seeing them as exploitation, others as agency within constrained choices? That’s where the debate gets especially layered.
Monday, December 15, 2025
Housework
Spent the day on housework ( a lot of vacuuming in odd places) I'm wrecked! Do
have a few chats with Copilot I can share:
Copilot:
USA; do we know where the Gerald Ford aircraft carrier currently is?
As of mid-December 2025, the USS Gerald R. Ford is operating in the central Caribbean, positioned closer to Venezuela after leaving the U.S. Virgin Islands. Satellite imagery and naval reports confirm that the carrier strike group has shifted southward to reduce flight times to northern South America.
π³ Current Location & Movements
December 1, 2025: The USS Gerald R. Ford arrived in St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, marking its first port visit under U.S. Southern Command.
December 7, 2025: Reports confirmed the carrier had departed St. Thomas, redeploying into the Caribbean as part of Operation Southern Spear, a counter-narcotics and regional security mission.
December 12–14, 2025: Satellite images showed the Ford moving deeper into the central Caribbean, approximately 380 miles south-southwest of Ponce, Puerto Rico, placing it significantly closer to Venezuela.
⚔️ Strategic Context
The deployment is part of Operation Southern Spear, a U.S. campaign targeting drug trafficking networks in the Caribbean.
Positioning near Venezuela enhances the carrier’s aerial projection capacity and signals U.S. readiness amid escalating tensions with Caracas.
The Gerald R. Ford is the flagship of Carrier Strike Group 12 (CSG-12), making it a central asset in U.S. Southern Command’s current operations.
π Key Takeaway
The USS Gerald R. Ford is no longer anchored in the Virgin Islands; it has advanced into the central Caribbean, strategically closer to Venezuela, as part of ongoing U.S. military operations in the region.
Louise, since you’re in Quebec and follow international developments closely, this movement is significant—it shows how the U.S. is repositioning its most advanced carrier for rapid response in the Caribbean theater. Would you like me to map out the timeline of its movements visually, so you can see the progression from St. Thomas to its current position?
Where are the Virgin Islands?
The Virgin Islands are an archipelago in the Caribbean Sea, located just east of Puerto Rico. They straddle the boundary between the northeastern Caribbean and the western Atlantic Ocean.
π Geographic Location
Coordinates: Around 18.2°N, 64.8°W
Region: Part of the Leeward Islands in the Lesser Antilles
Nearby Landmarks:
~40–50 miles east of Puerto Rico
~1,100 miles southeast of Miami, Florida
π Political Division
The Virgin Islands are split into two main political entities:
U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI) – An unincorporated territory of the United States.
Main islands: Saint Thomas, Saint John, Saint Croix
British Virgin Islands (BVI) – A British Overseas Territory.
Main islands: Tortola, Virgin Gorda, Anegada, Jost Van Dyke
π Physical Features
Most islands are volcanic in origin, with hilly terrain (especially Saint Thomas and Saint John).
Saint Croix is the largest and relatively flatter.
Highest point: Crown Mountain on Saint Thomas (474 m / 1,555 ft).
π Key Takeaway
The Virgin Islands sit at the crossroads of the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean, east of Puerto Rico, and are divided between U.S. and British governance. They are a strategic location both for tourism and, as you noticed with the USS Gerald R. Ford, for military operations.
Louise, since you’re tracking the carrier’s movements, the Virgin Islands are essentially the gateway between the Caribbean and the Atlantic, making them a natural staging point for U.S. naval deployments. Would you like me to create a map overlay showing the Virgin Islands relative to Puerto Rico and Venezuela, so you can visualize why the Ford’s redeployment southward is strategically significant?
Where is the Gerald Ford's home base; could it be serviced in San Diego?
The USS Gerald R. Ford’s official homeport is Naval Station Norfolk, Virginia. Yes, it can be serviced in San Diego, thanks to a Navy contract that covers Ford-class carriers there.
⚓ Homeport
The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) is currently based at Naval Station Norfolk, Virginia, which is the traditional hub for Atlantic Fleet carriers.
Norfolk has the infrastructure to handle nuclear-powered carriers and is where the Ford returned after its first major deployment in early 2024.
π§ Servicing in San Diego
While Norfolk is the home base, the Navy has awarded Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) a $528 million contract to provide maintenance for both Nimitz-class and Ford-class carriers in San Diego.
This means the Gerald R. Ford could undergo servicing at Naval Air Station North Island (San Diego) if operational needs or deployments place it in the Pacific.
San Diego’s facilities are already used for nuclear carrier maintenance, and the contract ensures Ford-class ships are included in the rotation.
π Strategic Context
The Ford is primarily an Atlantic Fleet asset, but the Navy is preparing Naval Base Kitsap (Bremerton, Washington) to host Ford-class carriers in the Pacific in the future.
This would allow the Ford-class to be permanently stationed or rotated into the Pacific, making servicing in San Diego even more routine.
π Key Takeaway
Homeport: Norfolk, Virginia
Servicing: Yes, San Diego has the capability under a Navy contract, though it’s not the Ford’s primary base.
Future: Kitsap-Bremerton is being upgraded to host Ford-class carriers, expanding Pacific servicing options.
Louise, since you’re tracking the Ford’s movements and logistics, the distinction is important: Norfolk is the “home,” but San Diego is a service hub. Would you like me to build a comparison table of Atlantic vs. Pacific servicing facilities for Ford-class carriers, so you can see how the Navy is balancing its infrastructure?
* * *
Naval Station Norfolk is the world's largest Naval Station...
* * *
Copilot:
Sunday, December 14, 2025
Hostilities
How did hostilities between Russia and Ukraine stabilize in 2014?
Hostilities between Russia and Ukraine in 2014 stabilized mainly through the signing of the Minsk Protocol in September 2014, which created a fragile ceasefire, though fighting never fully stopped.
π Key Developments in 2014
Euromaidan & Political Upheaval (Nov 2013–Feb 2014): Protests against President Yanukovych’s rejection of an EU deal led to his ouster. Russia responded by annexing Crimea in March 2014.
War in Donbas (Spring 2014): Pro-Russian separatists declared independence in Donetsk and Luhansk, sparking armed conflict with Ukrainian forces.
Escalation (Summer 2014): Heavy fighting, including the Battle of Ilovaisk, caused major Ukrainian losses. Russia was accused of sending troops and weapons to support separatists.
Minsk Protocol (Sept 2014): Brokered by the OSCE, Ukraine, Russia, and separatist leaders, this agreement called for:
Immediate ceasefire
Decentralization of power in Ukraine
Withdrawal of foreign fighters and heavy weapons
Exchange of prisoners
⚖️ Why It Was Only Partial Stabilization
Ceasefire Violations: The Minsk Protocol slowed the intensity of fighting but was repeatedly violated. Shelling and skirmishes continued along the front lines.
Frozen Conflict: The agreement prevented full-scale escalation but left Donbas under de facto separatist control, creating a “frozen conflict” rather than true peace.
International Monitoring: The OSCE deployed observers to monitor compliance, but their access was limited, and both sides accused each other of violations.
π Bottom Line
By late 2014, hostilities stabilized not because the war ended, but because the Minsk Protocol imposed a fragile ceasefire that reduced—but did not eliminate—violence. The conflict essentially shifted into a prolonged stalemate, setting the stage for further negotiations and the eventual Minsk II agreement in 2015.
Louise, since you enjoy comparative institutional analysis, this episode is a classic case of a “managed stalemate”: external mediation (OSCE, EU, Russia) imposed a framework that froze the conflict without resolving underlying sovereignty disputes. Would you like me to map out how the Minsk agreements compare to other “frozen conflicts” (like Transnistria or Nagorno-Karabakh) to see the broader institutional patterns?
What is the OSCE?
The OSCE (Organization for Security and Co‑operation in Europe) is the world’s largest regional security organization, with 57 participating states across Europe, Central Asia, and North America. It works to promote peace, stability, and democracy through dialogue, monitoring, and cooperative action.
π Origins and Structure
Founded: Began as the Conference on Security and Co‑operation in Europe in 1973, formalized by the Helsinki Accords in 1975, and renamed OSCE in 1995.
Headquarters: Secretariat in Vienna, Austria.
Membership: 57 states (including Canada, the U.S., Russia, and all European countries) plus 11 partner states.
Decision-making: All members have equal status; decisions are made by consensus.
π Mandate and Activities
Conflict Prevention & Crisis Management: Early warning systems, mediation, and peacekeeping missions.
Post-Conflict Rehabilitation: Supporting reconstruction and reconciliation after wars.
Arms Control: Monitoring and promoting transparency in military activities.
Human Rights & Democracy: Observing elections, promoting freedom of the press, and protecting minority rights.
Field Missions: Deploys observers and monitors in conflict zones (e.g., Ukraine after 2014).
π Role in Ukraine (2014)
The OSCE played a central role in stabilizing hostilities between Russia and Ukraine by:
Mediating the Minsk Protocol (Sept 2014), which created a ceasefire framework.
Deploying monitors to observe compliance and report violations.
Acting as a neutral platform for dialogue between Ukraine, Russia, and separatist groups.
⚖️ Why It Matters
The OSCE is unique because it combines military security, economic cooperation, and human rights protection under one umbrella. Unlike NATO, it is not a military alliance but a political and diplomatic forum aimed at preventing conflicts before they escalate.
Louise, since you’re fascinated by institutional design, the OSCE is a great case study in consensus-based governance: it has no binding legal personality, yet it manages to influence conflicts through monitoring and dialogue rather than enforcement. Would you like me to compare how the OSCE’s consensus model differs from NATO’s collective defense principle?
So why are they absent in the current Russia Ukraine conflict?
The OSCE is largely absent from the current Russia‑Ukraine war because Russia used its veto power to block the continuation of OSCE missions in Ukraine after the full‑scale invasion in February 2022. Without consensus, the organization could not legally maintain its field presence, leaving it sidelined in direct monitoring and mediation.
⚖️ Why the OSCE Pulled Back
Consensus Rule: The OSCE operates by unanimous agreement among its 57 member states. Russia, as a member, blocked the renewal of the OSCE’s monitoring missions in Ukraine, effectively shutting them down.
End of Field Missions: Before 2022, the OSCE had a Special Monitoring Mission (SMM) in Ukraine, reporting on ceasefire violations and civilian conditions. Once Russia vetoed its mandate, the mission was forced to withdraw.
Paralysis of Decision-Making: Russia’s veto power also disrupted OSCE budgets and leadership appointments, leaving the organization unable to act decisively.
π Current OSCE Role (Post‑2022)
Diplomatic Platform: The OSCE still hosts debates and statements condemning Russia’s aggression, but these are political rather than operational.
Humanitarian & Reconstruction Support: Some OSCE programs continue indirectly, focusing on displaced persons, human rights, and democratic resilience in Ukraine, but not on frontline monitoring.
Future Possibility: Neutral states like Switzerland have suggested the OSCE could play a role in monitoring a future ceasefire, if one is agreed.
π Bottom Line
The OSCE’s absence is not due to irrelevance but to structural paralysis: its consensus model gave Russia the ability to block missions, leaving the organization sidelined in the most significant European war since WWII. It remains a forum for dialogue but no longer has “boots on the ground” in Ukraine.
Louise, since you’re keen on institutional design, this is a textbook case of how consensus rules can turn into veto traps. The OSCE’s inability to act contrasts sharply with NATO’s majority‑driven defense commitments. Would you like me to map out a side‑by‑side comparison of how consensus vs. collective defense models shape their effectiveness in crises like Ukraine?
This is the really frustrating part of the whole conflict to date; on gets a proposal together, all looks good and then Russia reverts to a grandeloquent stance that nixes all hope. It just happened again, Russia starting talking about recovering large swats of Ukraine, and attacked Odessa. Could the OSCE help us understand what is going on here. Is it because the military are the only close advisers to the President, and this is what keeps him in power? The people of Russia are now feeling the war at home; they have the right to know!!
In short: The OSCE can help explain the dynamics, but its ability to act is limited because Russia blocks its missions. What you’re seeing—grandiose rhetoric, renewed offensives like in Odessa, and the silencing of moderating voices—reflects both Russia’s internal power structure and the paralysis of consensus‑based institutions like the OSCE.
π What the OSCE Says About the Current War
Erosion of Security Principles: The OSCE has repeatedly warned that Russia’s war undermines the foundations of European security, sovereignty, and human rights.
Ceasefire Monitoring Potential: Neutral states like Switzerland argue the OSCE could play a key role in monitoring a future ceasefire, but only if Russia allows it.
Diplomatic Paralysis: Because the OSCE requires consensus, Russia has blocked missions and budgets, leaving the organization sidelined.
Soft Language: Even at ministerial meetings, OSCE leaders sometimes avoid directly naming Russia as the aggressor, reflecting the difficulty of maintaining unity among 57 states.
⚔️ Why Russia’s Leadership Acts This Way
Military Influence: Analysts note that the Russian president increasingly relies on military and security elites (the siloviki) for advice. This narrows his circle of influence and reinforces hardline strategies.
Domestic Control: By framing the war as existential and promising “recovery of large swaths of Ukraine,” the Kremlin maintains nationalist legitimacy at home.
Suppressing Alternatives: Civilian institutions, independent media, and moderating voices have been marginalized. This leaves military and security perspectives dominant in policymaking.
Public Awareness: As you point out, ordinary Russians are now feeling the war—through casualties, economic strain, and mobilization. The OSCE stresses that people have the right to know the truth, but Russia’s information environment is tightly controlled.
π Why the OSCE Struggles
Consensus Trap: Russia’s veto power prevents the OSCE from deploying monitors or mediators in Ukraine.
Symbolic Role: The OSCE remains a forum for dialogue and condemnation, but cannot enforce or intervene.
Future Possibility: If a ceasefire is ever agreed, the OSCE could again serve as a neutral monitor, much like it did with the Minsk Protocol in 2014.
π§© Bottom Line
The OSCE helps us understand the erosion of security norms and the dangers of Russia’s veto power, but it cannot act decisively while Moscow blocks consensus. Russia’s reliance on military advisers explains the aggressive stance: it keeps the president in power by projecting strength, even as ordinary Russians bear the costs.
Louise, since you’re drawn to institutional analysis, this is a textbook case of how institutional design (consensus vs. veto) interacts with authoritarian power structures (military dominance) to produce stalemate and escalation. Would you like me to build a comparative table showing how the OSCE’s paralysis contrasts with NATO’s collective defense model and the UN’s Security Council veto system?
There are now military actions occuring on Russian soil; Russia too is feeling agression. Surely that counts as well?
You’re absolutely right to point out that the war is no longer confined to Ukrainian territory. Since 2023, there have been cross‑border strikes, drone attacks, and sabotage operations inside Russia itself. This means Russian civilians and infrastructure are now directly experiencing the war, not just through mobilization and economic strain but through physical attacks on their soil.
⚔️ Military Actions on Russian Soil
Drone Strikes: Ukraine has used long‑range drones to hit oil refineries, military bases, and logistics hubs deep inside Russia (including Moscow and St. Petersburg).
Border Raids: Pro‑Ukrainian volunteer groups have staged incursions into Belgorod and Kursk regions, forcing Russia to divert troops to defend its own territory.
Missile Strikes: Ukrainian missiles have targeted Russian military installations near the border, especially around Belgorod and Bryansk.
Sabotage & Partisan Activity: Railways, fuel depots, and communications infrastructure inside Russia have been disrupted by sabotage operations.
π Why This “Counts” in the Conflict
Psychological Impact: For the Russian public, the war is no longer abstract. Explosions, casualties, and disruptions at home make the conflict tangible.
Strategic Pressure: Ukraine’s strikes aim to stretch Russian defenses, forcing Moscow to protect its rear areas while still fighting in Ukraine.
Political Consequences: The Kremlin portrays these attacks as proof of Western involvement, reinforcing its narrative of a defensive war. But internally, it also raises questions about the government’s ability to protect citizens.
π OSCE’s Perspective
The OSCE has consistently argued that all civilians—whether in Ukraine or Russia—have the right to security and truthful information about the war.
However, because Russia vetoed OSCE monitoring missions, the organization cannot independently verify or report on these attacks inside Russia.
What remains is a political forum: OSCE states condemn aggression and call for accountability, but they cannot enforce protection or transparency on Russian soil.
⚖️ Bottom Line
Yes, it does count. Military actions inside Russia highlight that this war is no longer one‑sided; Russian civilians are now directly exposed to aggression. But because of Russia’s veto, institutions like the OSCE cannot monitor or explain events on the ground, leaving the Russian public dependent on state‑controlled narratives rather than neutral reporting.
Louise, since you’re keen on comparative institutional analysis, this is a striking example of how authoritarian control of information collides with international monitoring paralysis. Would you like me to build a timeline overlay showing when cross‑border strikes began, alongside OSCE statements, to visualize how the war “spilled over” into Russia?
Just so we know; did Russia ever get that 'decentralization of decision-making in Ukraine' it signed up for in Minsk I?
Great question, Louise. The short answer is no—Russia never got the decentralization it demanded in the Minsk I agreement (September 2014).
π What Minsk I Promised
Decentralization of Power: Ukraine agreed in principle to consider reforms that would give more autonomy to regions, especially Donetsk and Luhansk.
Special Status: The idea was to allow these areas some self‑governance while remaining part of Ukraine.
Other Measures: Ceasefire, withdrawal of heavy weapons, prisoner exchanges, and OSCE monitoring.
⚖️ What Actually Happened
Ukrainian Position: Kyiv resisted granting sweeping autonomy because it feared this would legitimize separatist control and give Russia a permanent veto over Ukraine’s sovereignty.
Partial Steps: Ukraine passed laws offering limited “special status” to Donbas, but only temporarily and under conditions (like holding elections under Ukrainian law).
Russian Demands: Moscow wanted constitutional changes enshrining decentralization across Ukraine, not just Donbas. This was seen as a way to weaken Kyiv’s central authority and keep Ukraine in Russia’s orbit.
Breakdown: Because neither side fully implemented the political provisions, Minsk I collapsed within months. Fighting resumed, leading to Minsk II in February 2015, which repeated many of the same decentralization clauses.
π Bottom Line
Russia never achieved the decentralization it sought. Ukraine offered limited concessions but refused to alter its constitution in ways that would undermine sovereignty. The decentralization clause became a sticking point: Russia insisted on it, Ukraine resisted, and the OSCE could only monitor ceasefire violations—not enforce political reforms.
Louise, since you’re fascinated by institutional design, this is a classic example of how ambiguous treaty language (“decentralization”) can be weaponized. Russia interpreted it as federalization (a veto for Donbas), while Ukraine saw it as limited local autonomy. Would you like me to map out a comparative table showing how decentralization is handled in other conflict settlements (e.g., Bosnia’s Dayton Agreement vs. Moldova’s Transnistria) to see why Minsk failed?
In 2014, when Minsk I was signed, who was President of the USA and who was President of Russia?
When the Minsk I agreement was signed in September 2014:
πΊπΈ President of the United States: Barack Obama (he served from January 2009 to January 2017).
π·πΊ President of Russia: Vladimir Putin (he returned to the presidency in May 2012 after serving earlier from 2000–2008, and has remained in power since).
So the Minsk Protocol was negotiated during Obama’s second term and under Putin’s third presidential term.
Would you like me to also outline how each leader’s administration viewed the Minsk process—Obama’s emphasis on sanctions and diplomacy versus Putin’s push for decentralization in Ukraine? That contrast really shaped why Minsk I stalled.
Salsa_Day
Going for it: below, he salsa recipe I'll be making today. This is very forward
of me; I've never actually tasted salsa...
https://www.cookingclassy.com/fresh-homemade-salsa/Saturday, December 13, 2025
Wearing it...
Wearing my burgundy t-shirt this morning. Looks black: Ha! Look at it standing
up in front of the computer:
Friday, December 12, 2025
Cloud_D
This year's Pantone color of the year is Cloud Dancer, a shade of White and
something of a bore in artistic and design circles. My objection to a White is
how do you tell it apart. Hard for me to say this white and not that one...
Below, Copilot found a palette of whites so one might tell the difference.
Kitchen_Talk
Had a moment of victory in the kitchen, yesterday. Finally found an easy way to
remove burnt bits from a pan that works instantly, and does a perfect job. I won't
go into all the abrasive and acid combos recommended in the net (baking soda and
Coca cola...etc). They do help. But this trick is physical: one needs to use an abrasive
and scrub with bunched up Aluminum foil. Things get spotless before one's very eyes.
Just thought I'd share.
Had another good moment with brown sugar. It comes in a see-through pouch and I had
the good idea to open it in a particular way. The sugar remains loose so long as it is not
exposed to air, so I bunched up the smallish quantity I wanted in the upper left corner and cut
a triangualr piece, releasing just that quantity. Immediately put a large rubber band to seal
the remainder and, this morning, it is as if I had never opened the bag... because, in effect,
I didn't.
Thursday, December 11, 2025
The_Seizure
A judge is said to have issued a ruling that the Venezeulan ship culd be boarded. What judge might this be?
No judge is reported to have issued the ruling to board the Venezuelan tanker on December 10, 2025. The boarding of the Skipper was an executive and military action authorized by U.S. agencies, not a judicial order.
π What the sources say
On December 10, 2025, U.S. forces boarded and seized the Venezuelan-flagged oil tanker Skipper off the coast of Venezuela.
The operation was carried out by the FBI, Homeland Security, Coast Guard, and U.S. Marines, coordinated under executive authority.
U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi described the event as a “seizure” and released video footage of the boarding.
President Donald Trump publicly announced the seizure, calling it “the largest tanker ever seized”.
⚖️ Judicial involvement
No reports mention a judge issuing a ruling to authorize the boarding.
In U.S. practice, judges may later preside over civil forfeiture proceedings to determine ownership of the vessel or cargo, but the initial boarding is an executive/military decision.
If a judge becomes involved, it would likely be in a federal district court (such as the Southern District of Florida or the District of Columbia), where forfeiture cases tied to sanctions are commonly heard.
π Why the confusion?
Media coverage sometimes frames enforcement actions as “legal rulings” because they are tied to sanctions law.
However, the boarding itself was not judicial. It was justified under U.S. sanctions enforcement and international maritime interdiction practices.
✅ Answer: The Venezuelan ship Skipper was boarded on December 10, 2025 under U.S. executive authority. No judge issued the ruling. If judicial involvement occurs, it will be in later forfeiture proceedings in a U.S. federal court, not in the initial boarding.
Would you like me to trace which federal court is most likely to handle the forfeiture case (and therefore which judges could eventually be involved)? That would give us the closest possible answer to “what judge” in this situation.
But it is a Venezuelan ship...
You’re right, Louise — the Skipper is Venezuelan‑flagged, and that’s exactly why the situation is legally complex.
π’ Flag State vs. Boarding Authority
Flag state principle: Under international maritime law, a ship is generally subject to the jurisdiction of the country whose flag it flies — in this case, Venezuela.
U.S. action: Despite that, the U.S. boarded the Skipper on December 10, 2025, citing sanctions enforcement. That decision came from executive authority (Coast Guard, FBI, Homeland Security, Navy), not from a judge.
Judicial role: If a judge becomes involved, it would only be after the boarding, in U.S. federal court proceedings (civil forfeiture or sanctions enforcement). The boarding itself was not judicial.
⚖️ Which Judge Could Be Involved Later?
Forfeiture cases tied to sanctions are usually heard in federal district courts.
Likely venues:
Southern District of Florida (Miami) — common for maritime seizures in the Caribbean.
District of Columbia — common for sanctions and foreign policy cases.
Judges in those districts could eventually issue rulings about the ship’s fate, but none issued the boarding order itself.
✅ So: No judge ordered the boarding of the Venezuelan ship. It was an executive/military decision. A judge may only appear later in forfeiture proceedings in U.S. federal court.
Would you like me to check which court has already filed the forfeiture case for the Skipper? That would let us identify the actual judge who might now be handling the matter.
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Very exciting: there might be a viable peace proposal for the ongoing conflict in ukraine.
We might see a cease-fire by Christmas. Here's to hoping for it (in French):
Growing_C
My mistake: there were 22 strikes, and some 80 people killed:https://archive.ph/yLSaW. I would be curious on how Spanis-speaking media have presented this...
Direct answer: Spanish-language media have presented the U.S. strikes near Venezuela as a major escalation of military pressure, reporting that 22 attacks destroyed boats and killed around 80 people, while stressing that Washington claims they were drug-smuggling vessels but has offered no public evidence. Outlets highlight the humanitarian impact, the legality debate, and the broader geopolitical confrontation with Venezuela.
How Spanish-speaking media framed the events:
El Nacional (Venezuela): Reported that the U.S. carried out 20–22 attacks resulting in about 80 deaths, noting that Washington insists the boats were carrying drugs but has not provided proof. The coverage emphasized that the escalation occurs amid growing political confrontation between Trump and the governments of Venezuela and Colombia.
Euronews (Spanish edition): Described the operation as part of “OperaciΓ³n Lanza del Sur”, highlighting that 80 people had died and that Trump had already decided on further military actions against Venezuela. The tone underscored the geopolitical stakes and the possibility of expanded U.S. intervention.
Yahoo Noticias / CNN en EspaΓ±ol: Published a chronology of the attacks, mentioning 23 boats destroyed and 87 deaths. They relayed the U.S. Southern Command’s claim that the vessels were “narco-terrorist” boats, but also pointed out contradictions—some boats were reportedly escorting a larger vessel to Suriname, not smuggling drugs to the U.S..
Telemundo (Spanish-language U.S. media): Stressed that the U.S. presence in the Caribbean is the largest in Latin America in decades, with warships including an aircraft carrier. Their reporting framed the attacks as part of a broader military buildup and noted that the vessels were accused of carrying narcotics, though skepticism remains.
Key themes across Spanish-language coverage
Numbers emphasized: 22 strikes, ~80 deaths, 20–23 boats destroyed.
Official narrative: U.S. claims the boats were drug-smuggling vessels linked to “narco-terrorism.”
Skepticism: Media highlight the lack of evidence and contradictions in U.S. accounts.
Legal concerns: Commentators question whether the strikes violate international law.
Geopolitical framing: Coverage ties the attacks to Trump’s broader campaign against NicolΓ‘s Maduro and the possibility of regime change.
Humanitarian impact: Reports stress the loss of life and potential destabilization of the region.
In summary: Spanish-speaking outlets present the 22 U.S. strikes and ~80 deaths as a controversial escalation, balancing Washington’s claims of anti-drug operations with serious doubts about evidence, legality, and humanitarian consequences.
So what is the reporting from Colombia?
Direct answer: Colombian media have reported the U.S. strikes near Venezuela with a strong focus on the human impact on Colombian nationals. Outlets like La FM highlighted that Colombians were among those killed in the boats destroyed by the U.S., and President Gustavo Petro publicly accused Washington of assassinating Colombian citizens. Coverage in Colombia frames the incident not only as part of the U.S. anti-drug campaign but also as a bilateral crisis, raising questions of sovereignty, legality, and accountability.
π¨π΄ How Colombian outlets presented the story
La FM (Colombia): Reported that Colombians were aboard Venezuelan boats destroyed by the U.S., citing The New York Times. The article noted that Petro accused the U.S. of killing Colombian nationals in these attacks. This angle makes the strikes a domestic issue in Colombia, not just a regional one.
RTVE (Spanish, covering Colombia-Venezuela context): Framed the U.S. campaign (OperaciΓ³n Lanza del Sur) as a regional escalation, stressing that attacks occurred in waters off both Venezuela and Colombia. The reporting emphasized that the strikes, justified by Washington as anti-narcotics, have heightened tensions with both governments.
El Nacional (Venezuela, widely read in Colombia): Noted that the escalation is happening amid a political confrontation between Trump and the governments of Venezuela and Colombia, directly linking Colombia into the narrative.
π Key Colombian perspectives
National victims: Colombian media stress that Colombians were killed, making the strikes a matter of national concern.
Petro’s accusation: The Colombian president has accused the U.S. of assassinating nationals, sharpening diplomatic tensions.
Regional framing: Coverage ties the strikes to a broader U.S. military campaign in the Caribbean and Pacific, affecting both Venezuela and Colombia.
Legality and sovereignty: Colombian outlets question whether the U.S. violated international law and Colombian sovereignty.
Geopolitical impact: Reporting situates Colombia as a direct stakeholder in the crisis, not just an observer.
π Conclusion
Colombian reporting differs from Venezuelan or U.S. narratives by personalizing the crisis: it’s not only about drug trafficking or geopolitics, but about Colombian citizens killed in U.S. strikes. This has turned the issue into a bilateral dispute between BogotΓ‘ and Washington, with Petro’s government demanding accountability.
Are Colombia and Venezuela both suitable for the cultivation of cocaine?
Quick answer: Yes, Colombia and Venezuela both have conditions suitable for coca cultivation, but Colombia is by far the dominant producer, accounting for more than two‑thirds of global coca crops. Venezuela has suitable terrain and climate, but its role is more as a transit and trafficking hub than a major cultivator.
π± Colombia: The global epicenter
Largest producer worldwide: Over 67% of the world’s coca cultivation is in Colombia.
Scale of cultivation: In 2023, Colombia had about 253,000 hectares of coca bush, producing an estimated 2,664 metric tons of cocaine.
Geographic spread: Cultivation is concentrated in departments like Putumayo, Norte de Santander, and Cauca, but has expanded across 16 of 19 coca-producing regions.
Climate & soil: Colombia’s humid, tropical lowlands and Andean foothills provide ideal conditions for coca growth, with high yields per hectare.
Trend: Production has been rising for a decade, making Colombia the heart of the global cocaine boom.
π± Venezuela: Suitable but secondary
Environmental suitability: Venezuela’s climate and geography (humid tropics, forested areas) are suitable for coca cultivation, similar to Colombia’s.
Cultivation scale: Unlike Colombia, Venezuela is not a top cultivator. Reports suggest limited coca growing, with most activity linked to processing labs and trafficking routes.
Role in trafficking: Venezuela’s porous borders and political instability have made it a key transit corridor for Colombian cocaine heading to the Caribbean, Central America, and beyond.
Seizures & monitoring: Authorities report large drug seizures, but independent monitors note that Venezuela’s role is more about facilitating movement of cocaine than producing it at scale.
π Conclusion
Both Colombia and Venezuela have natural conditions favorable to coca cultivation, but Colombia is the undisputed global leader in production, while Venezuela plays a secondary role as a trafficking hub with comparatively smaller cultivation.
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