Wednesday, November 11, 2015

Shout-Out for Climate


The concensus on CO2 driven climate change does have the great virtue of calming the most virulent environmentalists - and why deprive ourselves, here - but is it really altogether wise to rely on this 'story' to base government policies for the next century.

The first climate change analysis was done to benefit the nuclear industry in England, under Margaret Thatcher. And has grown from there.  As the below Arte documentary explores, there are other findings that might be of equal interest.

The key to harmonization of these different findings has to be time scale: short term fluctuations -which even-out or lead to behaviours, whatever is the case - seen within long-term trends. And one should not be afraid to do isolate analysis: the oceans might heat more as a function of  cosmic mechanisms, land masses from behavioural changes. How do we know? Perso, I would measure change with respect to outside temperature for oceans (that -18°C) and look to human activity for land masses. And refine from there.

Because seen from an observer perspective, that Paris conference looks awfully fragile, something of a loss opportunity before it even begins. We need adult behaviour from everybody, here.

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