Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Worst_Scenario

 Had a chat with Meta about the worst scenario of them all for Greenland disruption:


Greenland; the middle of Greenland is currently below sea level. Is a breach to allow sea water under the Ice Sheet at all possible?

The Greenland Ice Sheet's middle being below sea level is a concern, especially with rising global temperatures. While it's theoretically possible for a breach to allow seawater under the ice sheet, it's not a straightforward scenario.

The ice sheet's bedrock topography plays a crucial role. Greenland's ice sheet is grounded on a bowl-shaped bedrock, with the middle being below sea level. However, the ice sheet's thickness and the surrounding coastal mountains act as a natural barrier, protecting it from seawater intrusion 

That being said, climate change is causing the ice sheet to melt and thin, particularly at the margins. This thinning, combined with ocean warming, could increase the likelihood of seawater intrusion. If a breach were to occur, it would likely be through existing glacial channels or weak points in the ice sheet's margins.

Research suggests that such an event could lead to accelerated ice loss and contribute to sea level rise. For instance, studies indicate that extreme melt events could increase Greenland's sea level contribution by up to 0.5 meters by 2300 

Would you like to know more about the potential consequences of a breach or how climate change is affecting Greenland's ice sheet?


Please. Could extensive mining operations trigger a breach?

Extensive mining operations in Greenland could potentially trigger a breach, allowing seawater to rush under the ice sheet, but it's a complex issue. The main concern is that mining activities could alter the ice sheet's dynamics, causing it to melt faster or collapse.

Greenland's ice sheet is already melting at an alarming rate, contributing to global sea level rise. Mining operations would need to be carefully planned and executed to avoid exacerbating the situation. The risk of a breach is higher if mining occurs near the ice sheet's margins or in areas with existing weaknesses .

Some of the key factors to consider include:

Ice sheet stability: Mining could alter the ice sheet's surface topography, creating new pathways for meltwater to flow into the ocean.

Glacial isostatic adjustment: The weight of the ice sheet depresses the Earth's crust, and removing ice through mining could cause the crust to rebound, potentially triggering earthquakes or changes in ice flow.

Subglacial hydrology: Mining could disrupt the ice sheet's subglacial water system, leading to increased meltwater flow and ice sheet instability.

To mitigate these risks, mining companies would need to conduct thorough environmental impact assessments and implement measures to minimize their footprint on the ice sheet .

Would you like to know more about the potential environmental impacts of mining in Greenland or how climate change is affecting the ice sheet?


Overall, how is climate change affecting the ice sheet?

Climate change is having a profound impact on Greenland's ice sheet. The ice sheet is melting at an accelerating rate, contributing to global sea level rise and disrupting weather patterns worldwide. In fact, Greenland's ice melting has led to around 14mm of sea level rise since 1992, and researchers estimate this could add up to 30cm (one foot) to sea levels by 2100 .

Key Factors Contributing to Ice Sheet Melting:

Rising Temperatures: Warmer air temperatures are causing more ice to melt, especially in southern Greenland and along the ice sheet's margins.

Ocean Warming: Warmer ocean water is eroding glaciers, accelerating ice loss.

Crevasses and Calving: Increasing crevasses and glacier calving are further speeding up ice sheet melting 

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Consequences:

Sea level rise, threatening coastal communities and ecosystems

Changes in ocean circulation and weather patterns

Loss of biodiversity and ecosystem disruption

Would you like to know more about the potential consequences of ice sheet melting or how it's affecting specific regions?

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Geology; are mining operations for various metals and rare metals done on the regolith level, or on bedrock?

Mining operations for metals and rare metals typically target bedrock, as it's where most valuable mineral deposits are found. The regolith, or soil and rock layer, is often removed to access the underlying bedrock, where mineralization has concentrated valuable elements.

In Greenland, for example, rare earth element (REE) deposits are found in bedrock, with companies like Critical Metals Corp targeting kakortokite, a type of alkaline igneous rock, at their Tanbreez project. This deposit is estimated to contain 4-28.2 million metric tons of REE, with 27% heavy rare earth elements (HREEs) .

Mining operations usually involve:

Exploration: Identifying mineral deposits through geological surveys and drilling.

Extraction: Removing regolith and accessing bedrock to extract ore.

Processing: Crushing and separating valuable minerals from waste rock.

Would you like to know more about the specific mining techniques used for REE deposits or the environmental considerations involved?

https://www.criticalmetalscorp.com/projects/project-tanbreez/


Where is the Tanbreez project located?

The Tanbreez project is located in southern Greenland, approximately 40 kilometers from the town of Narsaq and 15 kilometers northeast of Qaqortoq. It's situated within the Ilimaussaq Complex, a unique alkaline intrusion dating back 1.16 billion years. The project area is about 5 km by 2.5 km, with a thickness of 335 meters, making it one of the largest rare earth element (REE) deposits globally. 





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