That election call is often portrayed as a whim on the part
of the Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau. This is the fourth wave
of the pandemic and no one really feels like lining up at the polls, let
alone what campaiging must feel like. But why has minority government
gotten so difficult to live with.
Canada's political culture really does spawn some oddities, and the
CBC is again predicting - blithely - a Liberal win with the popular vote
going to the Conservative Party. Think about it: we are voting one end
of the spectrum and ending up electing the other doing so. This is not
really possible in other countries.
European parties form mainstream coalitions.In France, la Droite; or la Gauche.
Germany as well, on a regional basis. Even the United Kingdom has been known
to do this. The actual vote lets one express onself - in a legal way - about the
direction we would like to see. If one's coalition forms the government, our views
are in the game.
My daughter asked me, the other day, why Quebec was so Liberal. I answered
her that the opposition is in splinters so that all votes favour them. Something
of a sassy answer, but not false. Indeed, one the ironies of this election is that
the 5% of the vote Maxime Bernier's Party is getting everywhere actually balances
out nationally the cut the Conservatives are taking in Quebec with the Bloc.
I only have 2015 numbers on the distribution of registered voters (in Wikipedia,
from Elections Canada). But hey, I now know how to do Python queeries on an
Sqlite database. I've got some ideas...
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