Friday, March 29, 2019

Reasonable

Now that things are down to the wire on the Brexit vote,
one terribly difficult and vexatious question remains. Once
they are out, could the UK ever get back in? Political life being
what it is and given the certainty of an eventual change of
government, the question is open.

The EU surely has some garde-fous on the matter. I have read
that waiting at least ten years, and then being forced into the
Eurozone seems about right.

In most cases of constitutional change, one does look for meaningful
majorities like 70%. A fiftyish number might hide randomness, like
who cares? The government might usefully leave some legislation on that
on the referendum question. Because who hasn't thought 'This is why direct
democracy is dangerous' on this one. Indeed, pundits have started writing
about precrastination ie attacking an anxiety-provoking task impulsively and
prematurely (as opposed to procrastination, putting it off). Lets just vote
on it and hope for the best!

So indeed, whatever the next steps taken here, the approach must be
thoughtful, and deemed reasonable by all.

                                *     *     *
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-18-3927_en.htm

Who is telling UK citizens about this?

                             *     *      *
A litlle logic quizz:  On thus has the choice between Customs Union,
Common Market, both, neither.

Which one(s) allow the UK to make its own trade deals?

Which one(s) avoid a border with Ireland?

https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2016/10/07/the-difference-between-europes-customs-union-and-single-market


The Brexit options above were done on the presentation from
the Economist article. One should note the 'both agreements' is 
equivalent to remain; 'neither' to hard Brexit. There is no convergence
for the present Parliament. Player PM - Theresa May - needs to include 
the Custom's Union to get anything through Parliament. This condition
is also met by the remain option. Player Brexiter - Boris Johnson - 
wants the freedom for Britain to make its own Trade Deals ie the Common
Market without common borders. He is also happy with a hard Brexit.
If Mrs May resigns in favour of a Brexiter, this Parliament is no
longer viable... from a purely logical point of view.

                                  

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