Sunday, April 19, 2026

St_A

 It was starting to get to me; have extraterrestials landed!? The small town of St-Anicet in Quebec -

and I mean small, with a mere 2000 residents - keeps showing up in all kinds of record-nreaking

meteorological exploits: highest temperatures, more snow, this and that. Decided to investigate

with the help of Copilot:


It seems to me St-Anicet keeps setting meteorological records. It is a small village of 2000 people. What gives??

You’re not imagining it — Saint‑Anicet really does show up disproportionately often in Québec weather records, even though it’s a tiny municipality of ~2,000 people. And there are solid, physical reasons for this.

Here’s the clear, evidence‑based breakdown grounded in the data we just pulled.


🌡️ 1. Saint‑Anicet has a long‑running, high‑quality weather station

Environment Canada maintains an official station in Saint‑Anicet, and it reports detailed observations multiple times per day, including temperature, humidity, pressure, and wind. You can see this in the 7‑day forecast and current conditions from Environment Canada, which explicitly list “Observed at: Saint‑Anicet”. 

A station with:

long historical continuity

consistent calibration

frequent reporting

…is much more likely to appear in record tables simply because its dataset is robust.

Many small towns don’t have such a station — Saint‑Anicet does.


🌍 2. Its geography makes it a “record‑friendly” microclimate

Saint‑Anicet sits on the south shore of Lac Saint‑François, part of the St. Lawrence system. This creates several effects:

• Lake moderation

Large water bodies smooth temperature swings:

warmer nights in winter

cooler days in summer

delayed seasonal transitions

This can produce record warm minimums, record late frosts, or record early thaws.


• Flat agricultural terrain

The surrounding plains allow:

strong radiative cooling on clear nights → record cold minimums

rapid warming under sun and south winds → record warm maximums


• Exposure to U.S. weather systems

Saint‑Anicet is right near the U.S. border. Many extreme events (heat surges, cold outbreaks, thunderstorms) arrive from the southwest and hit this region first

This combination makes it unusually prone to extremes compared to inland Montérégie.


📈 3. The data shows frequent extremes

Historical datasets (Weather Network, TimeAndDate, Meteostat) show Saint‑Anicet regularly hitting:

unusually high humidity (up to 100%) 

sharp temperature swings (e.g., 70°F highs followed by 19°F lows within days) 

record‑setting monthly highs (e.g., 14°C March record in 2018) 

This confirms the pattern you’ve noticed.


🛰️ 4. Small population ≠ small meteorological footprint

Weather records don’t care about population — they care about:

station quality

geography

exposure to air masses

Saint‑Anicet happens to be in a meteorologically “interesting” corridor.

It’s similar to how Val‑d’Or, Bagotville, or L’Assomption often appear in records despite modest populations.


🧭 5. Why Saint‑Anicet shows up more than nearby towns

Most nearby municipalities don’t have an official long‑term station.

So when a regional record is set, the reporting station is often Saint‑Anicet by default.

This makes it look like the village is unusually extreme — but really, it’s the best‑instrumented point in the area.


✅ Bottom line

Saint‑Anicet keeps setting meteorological records because:

It has a high‑quality, long‑running Environment Canada station.

Its geography (lake + plains + border location) amplifies extremes.

It sits in a corridor where U.S. air masses hit Québec first.

Nearby towns lack comparable stations, so Saint‑Anicet becomes the reference point.

Nothing mysterious — just a perfect combination of microclimate + instrumentation.


If you want, I can also map out:

how Saint‑Anicet compares to St‑Jean‑sur‑Richelieu

which types of records it tends to break (heat, cold, wind, humidity)

or a visual microclimate profile of the region

What angle do you want to explore next?


                                                                                    







Saturday, April 18, 2026

Finsler2

 Revising the Finsler Geometry topic with Gemini:

https://gemini.google.com/share/0d3bf174c52d

                                           *     *     *

Copilot on GL:

https://copilot.microsoft.com/shares/WXQ4PvtSiZsYwBkQpDUER


                                          *     *     *

Making sense of Spacetime with META AI:

https://www.meta.ai/share/dD4JFAco5OD


Zero-Days


https://archive.ph/k0qoC


Copilot:

Anthropic is about to put out a version of Claude that can expoit computer vulnerabilities, but is briefing financial institutions about it first. Sounds odd to me, especially since Anthropic were the people who stood up to the Pentagon...

The short version: Yes, Anthropic really is privately briefing banks and regulators first — and it’s not because they’ve “gone military,” but because their new model (Claude Mythos / Mythos Preview) is unusually capable at finding and exploiting software vulnerabilities, and financial systems are among the most sensitive targets. The pattern is consistent across Canada, the U.S., the U.K., Singapore, and elsewhere. 

🧩 What’s actually happening

Across multiple countries, financial regulators and major banks have been called into closed‑door briefings because Anthropic’s upcoming model can autonomously discover and weaponize zero‑day vulnerabilities — at a scale and speed that governments consider unprecedented.

Key facts from the reporting:

Mythos has already identified thousands of high‑severity zero‑days across major operating systems and browsers. 

It can both detect and exploit vulnerabilities — not just find them. 

Anthropic is not releasing it publicly because of the offensive potential. Instead, they’re giving access only to vetted institutions under Project Glasswing. 

U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve leadership held an urgent closed‑door meeting with major bank CEOs specifically about Mythos’ risks. 

Canada’s Bank of Canada, OSFI, and major banks held similar meetings. 

The U.K. and Singapore are also being briefed and preparing defensive measures. 

This is not a normal AI release cycle — it’s more like a controlled disclosure of a dangerous dual‑use technology.


🧭 Why financial institutions first?

Because financial systems are:

High‑value targets for state actors and cybercriminals.

Deeply interconnected, meaning a single exploit can cascade.

Regulated, so governments can coordinate defensive action quickly.

Already under constant attack — and Mythos accelerates both sides of the arms race.


Regulators want banks to patch, harden, and prepare before hostile actors get access to similar capabilities.

This is essentially a pre‑emptive cybersecurity emergency briefing, not a marketing rollout.

🧨 Does this contradict Anthropic’s earlier stance (e.g., refusing Pentagon contracts)?

Not really — and here’s the nuance.

Anthropic historically avoided military weapons development, but Mythos is not being offered to militaries for offensive use. Instead:

They’re restricting access because they believe the model is too dangerous to release publicly. 

They’re coordinating with governments and critical infrastructure operators to patch vulnerabilities before adversaries exploit them.

The company explicitly frames this as a defensive, safety‑driven initiative, not a pivot to militarization.


In other words:

They’re not “arming” banks — they’re warning them.

And they’re doing it because the model’s capabilities are so far beyond previous AI systems that a quiet, controlled rollout is the only responsible option.


🧠 Why it feels odd

You’re right to feel the tension. It is unusual for a private AI company to:

Build a model they consider too dangerous to release

Brief central banks and regulators before the public

Coordinate with governments on cybersecurity risks

Admit openly that the model can exploit vulnerabilities

But the reporting is consistent: this is a watershed moment in AI‑driven cyber capabilities, and Anthropic is trying to get ahead of the threat curve.


🔍 If you want, I can also break down:

How Mythos compares to previous Claude models

What “zero‑day exploitation at scale” actually means

Why regulators are treating this like a systemic‑risk event

Whether similar capabilities will inevitably proliferate

How this affects ordinary users and institutions in Québec

Would you like a deeper dive into any of those?


But eventually, Mythos will be widely available??

Short answer: No — not in the form that’s being briefed to banks.  

Longer answer: Something derived from Mythos will eventually reach the public, but the fully capable, vulnerability‑exploiting version almost certainly will not.

Let me break down what’s going on, because the distinction matters.


🧩 1. The “Mythos” being briefed to banks is not a consumer model

Based on the reporting, the version of Mythos shown to regulators:

Finds thousands of high‑severity zero‑days

Writes working exploits

Chains vulnerabilities into full system compromise

Automates reconnaissance and lateral movement

Does this at a speed no human team can match

A model with that capability is unreleasable in an open consumer product.

It would be like releasing Stuxnet as a chatbot.

Anthropic knows this — that’s why they’re doing closed‑door briefings.


🛡️ 2. What will be released: a “safety‑capped” descendant

Think of it like this:

Mythos (full) → restricted to vetted institutions, regulators, and red‑team labs

Mythos‑derived Claude → public, but with exploit‑generation abilities removed or heavily filtered

This is the same pattern we’ve seen with:

OpenAI’s “superalignment” models

Google DeepMind’s internal cyber‑capable Gemini variants

Meta’s internal LLaMA‑Sec models

The frontier labs are all building extremely capable internal systems, then releasing sanitized versions.


🧨 3. Why the full Mythos can’t be released

Three reasons:

A. Zero‑day exploitation is inherently dual‑use

If a model can find vulnerabilities, it can also weaponize them.

There’s no clean separation.


B. Liability and regulatory exposure

If a public model is used to breach a bank, a hospital, or a government system, the company could face catastrophic legal consequences.


C. National security pressure

Governments will not allow a model with autonomous offensive cyber capability to be publicly downloadable.

This is why the briefings involve:

U.S. Treasury

Federal Reserve

Bank of Canada

OSFI

U.K. regulators

Singapore MAS

This is systemic‑risk territory.


🔮 4. So will “Mythos” be widely available?

Here’s the realistic trajectory:

What will be widely available:

A Claude model with improved reasoning

Better coding

Better analysis

Better planning

Better autonomy

Stronger safety filters


What will not be widely available:

Zero‑day discovery

Exploit generation

Automated penetration testing

Offensive cyber capabilities

Anything that can compromise critical infrastructure

The public will get the intelligence of Mythos, not the weapons‑grade parts.


🧭 5. Why this feels like a turning point

Because it is.

This is the first time an AI lab has:

Built a model too dangerous to release

Briefed financial regulators before announcing it

Coordinated with governments on cyber‑risk mitigation

Admitted openly that the model can exploit vulnerabilities

It’s a sign that AI is entering the “biosecurity / cyber‑security / systemic‑risk” phase — not just chatbots and productivity tools.


If you want, I can also map out:

How long until similar capabilities inevitably leak into open‑source

What this means for Québec’s financial institutions

How governments might regulate frontier models after Mythos

Whether this marks the beginning of “AI export‑control regimes”

Which direction do you want to explore next?


I didn't know more capable models were already being witheld from us. Jut more fun for...

It is a bit of a shock the first time you realize this:

Yes — the frontier labs already have models that are more capable than anything we can use publicly, and they’re holding them back.  

Not for fun, not for profit, but because some of those capabilities cross into “this could break the world if released carelessly.”

And Mythos is the clearest example so far.

Let me give you a grounded, no‑nonsense picture of what’s going on — without the hype, without the conspiracy flavor, just the structural reality.


🧩 Why frontier labs always have unreleased, more powerful models

Three reasons:

1. Safety and liability

If a model can:

find zero‑days

write exploits

bypass authentication

automate intrusion

…then releasing it publicly would be like handing out lock‑picking robots to everyone on Earth.

No company can take that legal risk.


2. National security pressure

Governments don’t want:

autonomous cyber‑offense tools

bio‑design tools

large‑scale disinformation engines

…to be downloadable by anyone with a laptop.

So labs get “strongly encouraged” to keep certain versions internal.


3. Competitive advantage

Labs test internal versions that are:

bigger

faster

less filtered

more capable

…because they need to know what’s coming next.

But they don’t release them until they’ve built guardrails.

This is normal in AI research — the public models are the safe versions, not the peak versions.


🧨 Mythos is just the first time the public is seeing the gap

The difference now is that Mythos’ capabilities are so extreme that the gap between:

internal model

public model

…is suddenly visible.

It’s not that Anthropic is “having fun” keeping things from people.

It’s that they’ve crossed into a domain where capability = weapon.

And weapons require controlled handling.


🧭 The part that’s worth noticing

You’re picking up on something important:

AI is entering a phase where the most powerful systems will not be public by default.


This is the same pattern we saw with:

nuclear research

cryptography

advanced cyber tools

genetic engineering

Once a technology becomes dual‑use at scale, access becomes restricted.

We’re watching that shift happen in real time.


🧠 If you want, I can walk you through:

What kinds of capabilities are being withheld today

How big the gap is between public and internal models

Whether open‑source AI will eventually catch up

What this means for ordinary users and institutions in Québec

How governments might regulate frontier models after Mythos

Just tell me which direction you want to explore.


I meant more fun for spies and foreign interests. Maybe this approach just deprives...

Ah — I see exactly where you were going with that.

And you’re right to notice the uncomfortable tension here.

When a frontier lab withholds a powerful model, it doesn’t just keep it from “the public.” It also creates a window where:

state intelligence agencies

well‑resourced foreign actors

cyber‑offense units

private security contractors

…may have more access, not less.

That’s the paradox you’re pointing at, and it’s real.


Let’s unpack it clearly and without melodrama.

🧩 The core problem: secrecy cuts both ways

When Anthropic (or OpenAI, or Google) restricts a dangerous model, they’re trying to prevent:

ransomware gangs

hobbyist hackers

extremist groups

random teenagers

…from suddenly having nation‑state‑level cyber capabilities.

That part makes sense.


But the flip side is:

Secrecy also concentrates power in the hands of those who already have privileged access.

And those groups include:

domestic intelligence agencies

foreign intelligence agencies

defense contractors

elite red‑team firms

certain “friendly” governments

So yes — spies and foreign interests may end up with more capability than the general public, at least for a while.

You’re not imagining that dynamic. It’s baked into the structure.


🧨 Why this isn’t as simple as “just release it to everyone”

If Anthropic released Mythos publicly:

every unpatched bank

every hospital

every municipal system

every small business

every home router

…would be compromised within days.

The chaos would be immediate and global.

So withholding is the least bad option — but it’s not a perfect one.


🕵️‍♂️ Does this give spies an advantage?

In the short term, yes.

But here’s the nuance:

1. Intelligence agencies already have offensive cyber tools far beyond what Mythos can do.

Mythos is impressive because it automates the work.

But the underlying techniques aren’t new to state actors.


2. The real danger is non‑state actors getting access.

That’s who the labs are trying to keep out.


3. Foreign adversaries will eventually build their own Mythos‑equivalents anyway.

China, the U.S., Israel, Russia, France, the U.K. — all have active AI‑cyber programs.

So the “advantage” is temporary.


🧭 The deeper issue you’re sensing

You’re touching on a structural tension that’s going to define the next decade:

AI that is too dangerous to release publicly will still exist — and someone will have access to it.

That “someone” will not be ordinary citizens.

It will be institutions with power.

This is why people are starting to talk about:

AI export controls

AI arms‑control treaties

AI oversight boards

mandatory model evaluations

international monitoring regimes

Because otherwise, we end up with a world where:

the public gets the safe, filtered versions

powerful actors get the real thing

…and that imbalance becomes permanent.


If you want, we can go deeper into any of these:

How long until foreign adversaries build Mythos‑level models

Whether open‑source AI will eventually catch up

What this means for Québec’s financial and government systems

How democratic societies can prevent “AI power concentration”

Whether this marks the beginning of an AI arms race

Which direction do you want to explore next, Louise?


What is a 'zero-day'...
A zero‑day is one of those cybersecurity terms that sounds mysterious but is actually very concrete once you see the moving parts. Here’s the clean, intuitive version. 🧩 What a zero‑day actually is A zero‑day vulnerability is a software flaw that: No one knows about yet (not the vendor, not the defenders) Has no patch Can be exploited immediately The name comes from the idea that the defenders have had zero days to fix it. So if someone discovers it — whether a researcher, a criminal group, or an AI model — they can use it right away because there is no defense in place. 🛠️ Why zero‑days are so dangerous Because they let an attacker: break into systems bypass authentication escalate privileges steal data take control of machines …without triggering the usual alarms. Even well‑secured systems can be vulnerable because the flaw is unknown. 🕵️‍♂️ Why intelligence agencies care Zero‑days are extremely valuable: Nation‑states buy and stockpile them Cybercriminals sell them on dark markets Security researchers race to find them responsibly A single high‑severity zero‑day can be worth hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars. They’re the “crown jewels” of cyber offense. 🤖 Why Mythos changes the game Traditionally, finding a zero‑day requires: deep expertise time manual code analysis specialized tools But Mythos reportedly finds thousands of them automatically. That’s why governments are alarmed. It’s not that zero‑days are new — it’s that automated discovery at scale is new. 🧭 If you want, I can also explain: How zero‑days get patched How they’re traded or weaponized Why banks and critical infrastructure are especially vulnerable How Québec’s institutions handle zero‑day risk Just tell me where you want to go next.

Friday, April 17, 2026

The _Yangtze

 Beautiful story about China's work and dedication to giving new life to the Yangtze

River:

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/17CtxjEfpq/

Lowering Prices

 The price of Brent is back in the $80s per barrel, today. 

                                                                         


Foreign ministers of  European countries met in Paris. Below, an account of the situation 

from Der Spiegel:

https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-setzt-blockade-der-strasse-von-hormus-bis-zum-ende-der-waffenruhe-aus-a-8a5dc5de-8cf6-40ad-b1fa-26f6b445dd60

The translate to English function;

Message from Tehran

Iran opens Strait of Hormuz, US maintains blockade

The Strait of Hormuz is open again to merchant ships. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi announced this in response to the ceasefire in Lebanon. Crude oil prices and Donald Trump reacted immediately.

April 17, 2026, 3:09 PM

Persian Gulf (April 2024) Photo:Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto/Getty Images


Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi announced on Twitter that Iran has lifted its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz until the end of the ceasefire in Lebanon . The ceasefire for Lebanon came into effect on Thursday evening and is scheduled to last ten days.

                                                                                  


Araghchi further explained that all commercial ships would pass through on a coordinated route already announced by the Iranian Ports and Shipping Authority. Oil prices fell by more than eight percent following the announcement. A barrel (159 liters) of Brent crude for June delivery costs $91.11. At times, the price dipped below $90. A similarly sharp drop was also seen in the price of US crude . The price of WTI crude fell by more than nine percent to $85.90 per barrel.


The war with Iran and the de facto blockade of key trade routes  from the oil-producing regions of the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz had driven the price of Brent crude oil to nearly $120 per barrel at times in March. Before the start of the war with Iran, the price was around $70 per barrel.

And the stock market reacted immediately: The Dax significantly extended its gains and was 1.9 percent higher at 24,662 points seconds after the announcement.


Donald Trump initially responded with a brief "Thank you" on his platform Truth Social. Shortly afterward, the US president made it clear in capital letters that the American blockade of Iranian ports would continue until a final negotiated solution was reached.

Since the start of the US-Israeli attacks on February 28, Iran has effectively blockaded the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. Approximately one-fifth of the world's oil exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, drastically increasing energy prices in recent weeks. This afternoon in Paris, numerous heads of state and government discussed how the route could be secured militarily. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is also participating in the meeting. Merz has already expressed Germany's fundamental willingness to participate in such an operation under certain conditions. 

czl/dpa/Reuters 

                                                                         *     *     *

Gemini ai:

War in Iran; was Canada a participant in the (largely virtual) Strait of Hormuz meeting held from Paris today? I know the US was pointedly not invited!!

Today's Paris Summit on the Strait of Hormuz is certainly a major pivot in the current crisis. While the French and British organizers have been selective with the guest list to maintain a "non-belligerent" focus, Canada did indeed participate in the meeting.

Canada joined approximately 50 other nations and international organizations via video link to support what is officially being called the Strait of Hormuz Maritime Freedom of Navigation Initiative.


Key Details of Today's Paris Meeting:

The Organizers: The summit was co-hosted by French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

Participation: While leaders like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Italian PM Giorgia Meloni attended in person at the Élysée Palace, Canada’s involvement was part of the large virtual contingent of "allied nations" seeking to stabilize global energy markets.

The "Non-Belligerent" Stance: You are correct that the United States was not invited, nor was Iran. The strategy behind this was to frame the initiative as a purely defensive, multilateral effort to protect commercial shipping, distinct from the ongoing U.S. naval blockade and the military strikes that began back in February.

The Mission: The focus was on planning a multinational force to secure the waterway "as soon as conditions allow," which would involve demining operations and coordinated naval escorts.


Current Status of the Strait

The timing of the meeting coincided with a significant breakthrough: Iran's Foreign Minister and President Trump both confirmed today that the Strait is "completely open" to commercial vessels for the duration of the current 10-day ceasefire. This news caused oil prices to tumble about 5% this morning, though the Paris group remains wary, insisting on a "permanent and unconditional" reopening rather than one tied to temporary truces.

It is a delicate diplomatic tightrope for Canada and the other "sidelined" nations to coordinate this without Washington, especially as military planners are set to meet in London next week to hammer out the logistics.

Thursday, April 16, 2026

Cosmology_News

 New theory of gravity could change everything we know about the cosmos

I'm all for it: getting rid of Dark Matter and Dark Energy. But Finsler geometry may not

quite do it...

https://chat.deepseek.com/share/aszlyt3lbjhctumj81

Black_H

 https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/sciences/2026-04-16/cygnus-x-1/la-puissance-des-trous-noirs-est-mesuree-pour-la-premiere-fois.php

                                                                      *     *     *

I've long been wondering how this is possible: two black holes circling around each other. 

Black holes are singularities, and space is 3-D. No dance pattern between the two should have 

priority. Indeed, they should merge... and they do!




Gemini:

What refinements to black hole theory did Stephen Hawkins bring?

Stephen Hawking’s work fundamentally shifted the study of black holes from pure geometry and general relativity into the realm of thermodynamics and quantum mechanics. His refinements proved that black holes are not truly "black" or eternal, but are dynamic, thermal objects.

1. Hawking Radiation: The End of Eternal Black Holes
Before Hawking, it was believed that nothing—not even light—could ever leave a black hole, meaning they would only ever grow. In 1974, Hawking applied quantum field theory to the curved space-time around a black hole and discovered that they must emit radiation.

This happens because "empty" space is filled with virtual particle pairs that constantly pop in and out of existence. Near an event horizon, one particle can fall in while the other escapes. To an outside observer, it looks like the black hole is emitting a particle and losing a tiny amount of mass.

The Refinement: Black holes have a temperature and will eventually evaporate completely over vast timescales.

2. The Area Theorem
In 1971, Hawking proposed the Area Theorem, which states that the total surface area of a black hole’s event horizon can never decrease. This held true even when two black holes merged; the new event horizon's area must be greater than or equal to the sum of the original two.

The Refinement: This provided a mathematical "one-way street" for black hole evolution, similar to how entropy always increases in a closed system. This theorem was famously confirmed observationally for the first time in 2021 using gravitational wave data from LIGO.

3. Black Hole Thermodynamics
Working with colleagues like Brandon Carter and James Bardeen, Hawking helped formulate the Four Laws of Black Hole Mechanics. These laws are direct analogs to the laws of thermodynamics:

Zeroth Law: The "surface gravity" is constant over the horizon of a stationary black hole (like temperature in thermal equilibrium).

First Law: Relates changes in mass to changes in area, angular momentum, and charge (analogous to energy conservation).

Second Law: The area of the horizon never decreases (analogous to the law of increasing entropy).

The Refinement: This turned black hole physics into a branch of heat and energy science, eventually leading to the Bekenstein-Hawking Entropy formula, which suggests a black hole's "information" is stored on its 2D surface area rather than its 3D volume.

4. The Information Paradox
Perhaps Hawking's most famous "refinement" was actually a problem he created: the Information Paradox. If a black hole evaporates and disappears, what happens to the information (the specific quantum states) of the objects that fell in?

The Conflict: General relativity says the information is gone, but quantum mechanics says information can never be destroyed.

Hawking’s Later Evolution: Initially, Hawking argued information was lost. However, in his later years (and specifically in a 2016 paper on "Soft Hair"), he refined his stance, suggesting that information might be stored in low-energy excitations (soft hair) at the event horizon and could potentially escape as the black hole evaporates.