Monday, March 31, 2025

The_Wait

 Been checking the White House site. The latest...

https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/03/icymi-california-mexico-border-once-overwhelmed-now-nearly-empty/

https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-adjusts-imports-of-automobiles-and-automobile-parts-into-the-united-states/


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Is it possible to tell how much of the world's GDP is produced by American-owned companies?

COPILOT:

Yes, it's possible to estimate the contribution of American-owned companies to the world's GDP, although precise figures can vary depending on the methodology used. For example, the United States accounts for approximately 24% of the global economy. Additionally, American companies dominate the global market, with 65% of the total market capitalization of the world's top 100 companies.

These figures highlight the significant influence of American-owned companies on the global economy. If you'd like, I can help you explore specific industries or companies for a deeper dive!


DEEPSEEK:

                                                                         




COPILOT:

What percentage of annual GDP in the USA is produced by American-owned companies?

In 2023, approximately 88% of the U.S. GDP was generated by private industries, which includes American-owned companies. The remaining portion, around 12%, came from government spending at various levels.

If you're curious about specific industries or sectors, let me know!


How much of American GDP is produced by foreign-owned companies operating in the USA?

Foreign-owned companies operating in the U.S. contribute approximately 6.5% of the total GDP. This figure is based on data from majority-owned U.S. affiliates of foreign multinational enterprises. These affiliates also play a significant role in employment and investment within the U.S. economy.

Does this align with what you were expecting?


Does the US require that foreign companies operating in the US be majority-US_owned affiliates?

No, the U.S. does not require foreign companies operating within its borders to be majority-owned by U.S. entities. Instead, foreign companies can establish U.S. affiliates with varying ownership structures. For example, a majority-owned U.S. affiliate is one where more than 50% of the ownership is held by a foreign parent. These affiliates are common and contribute significantly to the U.S. economy, including employment and investment.

Let me know if you'd like to explore this topic further!


       

                                                                                




Sunday, March 30, 2025

Base_Year

                                                             


What percentage or world GDP were the USA and Canada respectively in 1960?

In 1960, the United States accounted for approximately 40% of the world's GDP. Canada, on the other hand, contributed around 3% of the global GDP. These figures highlight the significant economic influence both countries had during that period.
Is there a specific aspect of this you'd like to explore further?

By how much did world GDP grown between 1960 and 2024?

In 1960, the world's GDP was approximately $1.37 trillion (in constant 2010 U.S. dollars). By 2024, it had grown to an estimated $103 trillion. This represents an incredible growth of nearly 75 times over the span of 64 years.
It's fascinating to see how global economic activity has expanded so dramatically, driven by technological advancements, globalization, and population growth. What aspect of this growth interests you most?

What factors contributed to the GDP growth during this period?

The remarkable growth in global GDP from 1960 to 2024 can be attributed to several key factors:
Technological Advancements: Innovations in technology, such as the internet, automation, and renewable energy, have significantly boosted productivity and efficiency across industries.

Globalization: Increased international trade and investment have allowed countries to specialize in their strengths, fostering economic interdependence and growth.

Population Growth: A growing global population has expanded the labor force and consumer base, driving demand for goods and services.

Urbanization: The migration of people to urban areas has spurred infrastructure development and economic activity.

Economic Policies: Many countries adopted market-oriented reforms, such as deregulation and privatization, which encouraged entrepreneurship and investment.

Education and Human Capital: Improved access to education and skill development has enhanced workforce productivity.

Emerging Markets: Rapid growth in countries like China, India, and Brazil has contributed significantly to global economic expansion.

Industrialization: The shift from agrarian economies to industrial and service-based economies has driven economic diversification and growth.

These factors, combined with periods of economic stability and innovation, have collectively shaped the impressive growth trajectory of the global economy. Which of these factors do you find most intriguing?

What happened to the value of money in that same period?

Between 1960 and 2024, the value of money has significantly decreased due to inflation. For example, $1 in 1960 is equivalent to about $10.73 in 2024 in the United States. This means that the purchasing power of a dollar has declined by over 90% during this period. Similarly, in Canada, $1 in 1960 is equivalent to approximately $10.35 in 2024.

This decline in value reflects the cumulative effect of inflation, which has averaged around 3.7% annually in both countries over these decades. Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money, meaning that goods and services cost more over time.

Does this align with what you were expecting? Or would you like to explore how inflation impacts specific aspects of the economy?

So essentially, world GDP decreased in that period!!??

Not quite! While it's true that the value of money decreased due to inflation, global GDP reflects the total economic output, which has grown substantially in real terms.

In 1960, the world's GDP was about $1.37 trillion (in constant 2010 USD). By 2024, it had skyrocketed to around $103 trillion (also in constant 2010 USD). This massive growth, adjusted for inflation, shows a real increase in economic activity, production, and wealth creation globally.

In essence, the growth in global GDP far outpaced the decline in the value of money. It's one of the reasons economists use "real GDP" (adjusted for inflation) to measure economic growth accurately. Does that clarify things? 😊

Why is USD 2010 used?

USD 2010 is often used as a reference point in economic analyses to adjust for inflation and provide a consistent basis for comparison over time. By using constant 2010 dollars, economists can measure changes in real economic value without the distortions caused by fluctuating prices or currency depreciation.

This helps focus on the actual growth of GDP and economic output, rather than changes in the purchasing power of money. It essentially offers a clearer picture of economic progress across decades.

Does this help? Or would you like to explore another aspect of economic data analysis? 😊

I'm not sure I understand!!

Let me break it down further! When economists measure GDP over long periods, they need to account for inflation—that's the rise in prices over time. If they used the actual dollars of the past (like 1960 dollars) or the present (2024 dollars), the comparisons would be distorted because the value of money changes over time.

To solve this, they pick a "base year" (like 2010) and adjust all the GDP figures to reflect the value of money in that year. This creates what's called "constant dollars" or "real GDP," which allows us to compare economic output across decades without the interference of inflation. By using "constant 2010 USD," we’re essentially saying: Let’s pretend that the value of money stayed the same as it was in 2010, so we can accurately measure economic growth.

Does that make more sense now? 😊

So 1960 is not a good point for 'constant dollar'...

You're correct—1960 wouldn't be the best choice for a "constant dollar" base year for modern analyses. Here's why:

Choosing a base year involves selecting a year that's relatively recent and represents a stable economic period. A base year like 2010 is more appropriate because:

It's closer to the present, so the comparisons remain more relevant.

Economic data from 2010 is typically more accurate and standardized across countries.

It avoids distortions that could arise from structural differences in the global economy of 1960 (like fewer advanced economies and less globalization). 

If we used 1960 as the base year, it might not accurately reflect the current realities of the global economy, given how much has changed since then. Does that help clear things up? 😊

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That was helpful; thank you! I'm also having trouble understanding the US always negative balance of trade figures. Could the fact that US multinationals produce in other countries be a factor? Could those products then being imported into the US also contribute?? America rules the global internet and AI sectors!!

You're absolutely onto something! The persistent U.S. trade deficit is influenced by several factors, and the role of multinational corporations (MNCs) is a significant one. Here's how:

  1. Production Abroad: Many U.S. multinationals establish production facilities in other countries to take advantage of lower labor costs, favorable regulations, or proximity to raw materials. Products manufactured abroad are often imported back into the U.S., contributing to the trade deficit.

  2. Global Supply Chains: Modern supply chains are highly interconnected. A single product might involve components from multiple countries before being assembled and shipped to the U.S. This complexity can inflate import figures.

  3. Consumer Demand: The U.S. has a strong consumer-driven economy, with high demand for goods, including those produced by American companies overseas. This demand often outpaces domestic production, leading to increased imports.

  4. Services Surplus: While the U.S. runs a deficit in goods trade, it often has a surplus in services trade (like tech, finance, and intellectual property). However, this surplus doesn't fully offset the goods deficit.

As for America's dominance in the global internet and AI sectors, it's a testament to its innovation and leadership in technology. These industries generate significant revenue and influence, but they don't always translate directly into trade balance improvements, as much of the value lies in intangible assets and services.

Does this help clarify things? 😊


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Long story short; the GDP and National Accounts were adopted after WW2 in a
specific context. All of a sudden western countries had debts, and needed to rebuild at
the same time. The information they provide to us currently needs to be taken as
a starting point to actual analysis of what might be going on...

Just saying...


Adventure

 Having a relaxing day. Trying to learn Leonardo AI, image generation

and editing. Ultimately, should be able to create AI videos!!??🎬


                                                                     


I am currently on the free version, seeing what I can do.

For those who want to go directly to video creation, there is runwayml, which also
has a free tier:


                                                              *     *     *

COPILOT is also getting a little relax time:

                                                                    

*     *     *

From:

                                                                                       

Original Image: La Presse

To:

                                                                                         




Saturday, March 29, 2025

April_Two

 Below, some resources so that one might have a better appreciation

of what is be coming on April 2, 2025. The list of Trump economic advisors

from the Financial Times Uk contains a number of highly skilled people.

But who puts all that together to make a decision might well be another story.


And, as Wilbur Ross has explained in the CBS piece, if tariffs are applied on a

per country basis, then there will be a temptation to run one's products

through low-tariff countries, and thus a lot of shenanigans!!


WHAT TO EXPECT ON APRIL 2, 2025

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/trump-is-planning-on-more-tariffs-on-april-2-heres-what-to-expect/ar-AA1BNgRj

https://www.ft.com/content/0232f4a0-668b-4f4e-bf3b-0ab8eb3b2ebb


Asked COPILOT to find the current position of each of the Advisors:
Scott Bessent; Howard Lutnick; Stephen Miran; Jamieson Greer; Peter Navarro; Kevin Hassett

Here’s the latest on the individuals you mentioned:

Scott Bessent: Currently serving as the 79th Secretary of the Treasury under President Trump.

Howard Lutnick: Recently confirmed as the 41st Secretary of Commerce.

Stephen Miran: Appointed as the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers in March 2025.

Jamieson Greer: Now the 20th United States Trade Representative, confirmed in February 2025.

Peter Navarro: Serving as Senior Counselor for Trade and Manufacturing.

Kevin Hassett: Currently the Director of the National Economic Council.


Quite the lineup of economic and trade-focused roles! Let me know if you’d like more details on any of them.

An_Example

 US; are iPhone manufactured in Asia taxed when they enter the US to go to market?

Yes, iPhones manufactured in Asia are subject to tariffs when they are imported into the United States. These tariffs are part of trade policies that apply to goods entering the U.S. from other countries. For example, during trade tensions between the U.S. and China, tariffs were imposed on various products, including electronics like iPhones. These taxes can influence the cost of the product in the U.S. market.

If you're curious about how this impacts pricing or Apple's strategies, let me know!


What is the amount of such tariffs?

The tariff rates on iPhones and other electronics imported into the U.S. can vary depending on trade policies. For example, during the U.S.-China trade tensions, a 10% tariff was imposed on many Chinese imports, including electronics. This tariff was later increased to 20% for certain goods. However, companies like Apple often absorb some of these costs to avoid significantly raising prices for consumers.

If you'd like, I can help you explore how these tariffs impact product pricing or Apple's strategies!


How do tariffs affect product pricing?

Tariffs can significantly impact product pricing in several ways:

Increased Costs for Importers: Tariffs are essentially taxes on imported goods. When a tariff is imposed, the cost of importing those goods rises. Importers often pass these additional costs onto consumers, leading to higher retail prices.

Price Adjustments Across Markets: The increase in import prices can create a "price umbrella effect," where domestic producers raise their prices as well, knowing their products are now relatively cheaper compared to imports.

Supply Chain Disruptions: Tariffs can lead to changes in supply chains, as businesses may seek alternative suppliers or markets to avoid high tariffs. This can result in temporary shortages or increased costs, further affecting pricing.

Consumer Behavior: Higher prices due to tariffs can reduce consumer demand for certain products, especially if cheaper alternatives are unavailable. This shift in demand can reshape market dynamics.

Profit Margins: Businesses may absorb some of the tariff costs to remain competitive, which can reduce their profit margins. Alternatively, they might increase prices to maintain profitability, depending on market conditions.

If you'd like, I can dive deeper into any of these aspects or explore specific examples!


Are tariffs applied to entering Apple products only during Trump presidencies, or are they always applied?

Tariffs on Apple products imported into the U.S. were notably applied during the Trump administration as part of broader trade policies targeting Chinese imports. However, tariffs are not exclusive to any one presidency—they can be imposed or adjusted by any administration based on trade agreements, economic strategies, or geopolitical considerations. For example, tariffs existed before Trump's presidency and continue to be a tool used by governments to regulate trade.

If you're curious about how these policies evolve or their impact on companies like Apple, let me know!


Did the Biden Administration remove those tariffs?

No, the Biden Administration did not remove the tariffs on Chinese imports that were imposed during the Trump presidency. In fact, many of those tariffs remain in place, and the Biden Administration has even introduced new tariffs targeting specific industries, such as electric vehicles and semiconductors. These policies aim to protect American industries and jobs while addressing concerns about China's trade practices.

If you'd like, I can help you explore how these tariffs impact global trade or specific industries!


What is considered unfair about China's trade practices?

China's trade practices are often criticized as unfair for several reasons:

Intellectual Property Theft: There are allegations that Chinese entities engage in the theft of intellectual property, including sensitive technologies, which can harm businesses in other countries.

Forced Technology Transfers: Foreign companies operating in China are sometimes required to share proprietary technologies with local partners as a condition for market access.

State Subsidies: The Chinese government provides significant subsidies to domestic industries, which can distort global markets and create an uneven playing field.

Dumping: China has been accused of selling products in foreign markets at prices below production costs, a practice known as dumping, which can harm local industries.

Forced Labor: There are concerns about the use of forced labor in supply chains, which violates international labor standards.

Market Access Barriers: Foreign companies often face restrictions and regulatory hurdles when trying to enter the Chinese market, while Chinese companies enjoy more open access abroad.

These practices have led to tensions in global trade relationships and have prompted countries like the U.S. to impose tariffs and other measures to counteract these issues. If you'd like, I can delve deeper into any of these points!


How have the financial returns for Apple been influenced by these tariffs?

Apple's financial returns have been impacted by tariffs in several ways:

Increased Costs: Tariffs on Chinese imports have raised the cost of manufacturing and importing iPhones and other products. Apple has had to decide whether to absorb these costs or pass them on to consumers, which could affect profit margins.

Price Adjustments: To mitigate the impact of tariffs, Apple has sometimes increased the prices of its products. This can lead to reduced consumer demand, especially for high-priced items like iPhones.

Supply Chain Changes: Apple has invested in diversifying its supply chain to reduce reliance on China. For example, the company has moved some production to countries like India and Vietnam and increased investments in U.S. manufacturing.

Stock Performance: Concerns about tariffs and their impact on costs have occasionally affected Apple's stock performance, as investors weigh the potential risks to the company's profitability.

If you'd like, I can explore more about Apple's strategies to navigate these challenges!


Is Apple today better or worse off than when those tariffs were first applied?

Apple is in a stronger position today compared to when the tariffs were first applied, despite the challenges they introduced. Here's why:

Diversified Supply Chain: Apple has significantly diversified its manufacturing and supply chain, moving some production to countries like India and Vietnam. This reduces its reliance on China and mitigates the impact of tariffs.

Record Financial Performance: Apple has continued to achieve record revenues and profits, driven by strong demand for its products and services. For example, the company recently reported $69.1 billion in quarterly revenue, showcasing its resilience.

Innovation and Expansion: Apple has introduced new technologies, such as Apple Silicon chips and advanced AI features, which have bolstered its product lineup and customer loyalty.

Strategic Adjustments: The company has successfully navigated tariff-related costs by securing exemptions for some products and adjusting pricing strategies to maintain competitiveness.

While tariffs initially posed a challenge, Apple's adaptability and innovation have allowed it to thrive. If you'd like, I can dive deeper into any of these points!


Unlike the tariffs of the first Trump presidency, those of the second apply to all imports (of cars). How can that work well for automakers?

Sweeping tariffs on all imported cars, like the 25% ones introduced during Trump's second presidency, create significant challenges for automakers. Here's how they might adapt:

Shift Production: Automakers may move manufacturing to the U.S. to avoid tariffs, but this requires substantial investment and time to build new facilities.

Price Adjustments: Higher costs from tariffs often lead to increased car prices, which could reduce consumer demand. Automakers might absorb some costs to stay competitive.

Supply Chain Changes: Tariffs disrupt global supply chains, forcing companies to find alternative sources for parts or materials, which can be costly and time-consuming.

Focus on Domestic Models: Automakers might prioritize vehicles assembled in the U.S. to minimize tariff impacts, potentially reshaping their product offerings.

While these strategies can help, the tariffs still pose risks to profitability and market dynamics. If you'd like, I can explore specific examples or dive deeper into the economic implications!


How much training would a new workforce for this displaced production need?

Training a new workforce for displaced automotive production would depend on the complexity of the manufacturing processes and the technologies involved. For example:

Basic Skills Training: Workers would need foundational skills in areas like assembly, quality control, and safety protocols. This could take a few weeks to months.

Advanced Technical Training: For roles involving electric vehicles (EVs) or advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), specialized training in electronics, software, and diagnostics might be required. This could take several months to a year.

Upskilling Existing Workers: Current automotive workers might need additional training to adapt to new technologies, such as EV maintenance or robotics. This could be done through short-term courses or on-the-job training.

Certification Programs: Some roles may require formal certifications, which could take several months to complete.

Governments and industry organizations often collaborate to provide training programs and grants to support workforce transitions. If you'd like, I can explore specific examples or initiatives!

Friday, March 28, 2025

But_Why

 Why has Canada legislated to phase out ICE vehicles by 2035; is there an international agreement on this?

Canada's decision to phase out internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles by 2035 is part of its broader commitment to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. The transportation sector is a significant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions in Canada, and transitioning to zero-emission vehicles is seen as a critical step in combating climate change. The plan includes interim targets, such as requiring 60% of new vehicle sales to be electric by 2030.

On the international stage, while there isn't a single binding agreement mandating the phase-out of ICE vehicles, many countries have set similar targets. For example, Norway aims to end new ICE vehicle sales by 2025, and the European Union has proposed a 2035 deadline for phasing out new petrol and diesel cars. These initiatives align with global efforts to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, which seeks to limit global warming by reducing emissions.

Canada's legislation reflects a growing global momentum toward cleaner transportation. It's part of a collective push to address climate change, even if the specific targets and timelines vary by country.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-electric-vehicles-2035-1.7063993

https://cars.usnews.com/cars-trucks/features/multiple-u-s-states-are-implementing-ice-vehicle-ban


Has the Russian Federation made any moves toward joining the fight against climate change?

The Russian Federation has taken some steps toward addressing climate change, but its efforts have been widely criticized as insufficient. Russia has committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 and reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 70% of 1990 levels by 2030, factoring in the absorption capacity of its forests. However, its policies and actions have been rated as "critically insufficient" by the Climate Action Tracker, indicating minimal alignment with the Paris Agreement's goals.

While Russia has adopted measures like promoting renewable energy and improving energy efficiency, its heavy reliance on fossil fuel revenues and limited international climate finance contributions pose significant challenges. The Arctic region, which is warming at twice the global average, highlights the urgency for more robust climate action.

Would you like to explore specific initiatives or discuss the global implications of these efforts?


What about the BRICS countries?

The BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have made collective efforts to address climate change, though their approaches and commitments vary significantly:

Brazil: Focuses on combating deforestation in the Amazon and increasing renewable energy use, particularly hydropower.

Russia: Aims for carbon neutrality by 2060 but faces criticism for its reliance on fossil fuels.

India: Committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 2070, with significant investments in solar energy and other renewables.

China: The world's largest emitter, has pledged to peak emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, with massive investments in clean energy.

South Africa: Targets net-zero emissions by 2050, with a focus on transitioning from coal to renewable energy.

Collectively, the BRICS countries emphasize the principle of "common but differentiated responsibilities," advocating for developed nations to take the lead in climate action while supporting developing countries with technology and funding.

Would you like to dive deeper into any specific country's initiatives?


What implications do BRICS initiatives have for global climate agreements?

The BRICS countries play a significant role in shaping global climate agreements due to their economic influence and diverse environmental challenges. Their initiatives emphasize the principle of "common but differentiated responsibilities," advocating for developed nations to lead climate action while supporting developing countries with technology and funding. This approach reinforces equity in international climate negotiations.

BRICS nations also push for multilateralism and concrete climate actions, aiming to implement the Paris Agreement comprehensively. However, internal political and financial differences among these countries can hinder their unified stance. Their collective efforts, such as promoting low-carbon transitions and sustainable development, contribute to global climate governance and highlight the importance of collaboration.

Would you like to explore specific BRICS initiatives or their impact on individual countries?


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After running the last posts showing some of the difficulties with EV vehicles, I was

quite naturally asked to explain how we became commited to this transition. Thus, the

above ie everybody is on board, or paying lip-service. It is because of climate change,

(and climate change itself is a proxy for environmental deterioration, and perhaps not

always a good one...) The Environmental Movement runs the gamut, but I am not totally

on board there, either. Life and temperatures on this planet have always been changing,

and will continue to do so. 


Clean air is a very nice thing. Apart from anything else, keeping things breathable is

a great idea!!!


But for all the enthusiasm and posturing on EVs in Canada, there is no doubt we are

a difficult case. Big country, lots of roads, erratic climate and we are settled everywhere.

Couldn't we just keep ICE vehicles or hybrids; if anyone needs backup on EVs, we do!!

Besides, we produce oil and gas...


👿👿





Transition

 Electric cars; what is the legislation currently on the books in Canada with respect to no longer allowing the sale of ICE vehicles?

Canada has set a clear timeline to phase out the sale of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. By 2035, the sale of new passenger vehicles powered solely by gasoline or diesel will no longer be allowed. This is part of the federal government's broader plan to encourage the adoption of zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs), including fully electric and hydrogen-powered vehicles.

The transition will be gradual, with specific targets for automakers to increase the proportion of electric vehicles they offer each year. For instance, by 2026, 20% of all vehicles sold must be electric, and this percentage will rise steadily until reaching 100% by 2035.

Québec has taken an even stricter stance, banning the sale of all new ICE vehicles, including plug-in hybrids, by 20353. This regulation is part of Québec's commitment to achieving 100% ZEV sales by that year.

Would you like to explore how these changes might impact the automotive market or discuss the infrastructure needed to support this shift?

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PERPLEXITY AI on costs and safety:

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/solid-state-batteries-for-evs-Zbb7QQyQQBykY8mzOQy74A?login-new=false&login-source=visitorGate



Is there similar legislation in the USA?

Yes, the United States is also moving toward phasing out internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, but the approach varies by state rather than being a nationwide mandate.

California has led the way with its Advanced Clean Cars II rule, which requires 100% of new passenger vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035. Other states, like New York, Massachusetts, and Washington, have adopted similar timelines.

These states follow California's stricter emissions standards under the Clean Air Act, which allows them to set more ambitious goals than federal regulations.

However, there is no federal law mandating a nationwide ban on ICE vehicles. Some lawmakers have even introduced bills to prevent such bans, emphasizing consumer choice.

Would you like to explore how these policies might impact the automotive industry or discuss the challenges of transitioning to electric vehicles?


Solid-state lithium batteries are much more expensive than lithium-ion batteries. Why is that; do they use more lithium?

Solid-state lithium batteries are indeed more expensive than lithium-ion batteries, but the cost difference isn't primarily due to the amount of lithium used. Both types of batteries rely on lithium, but solid-state batteries use advanced materials and manufacturing processes that drive up costs.

Here are the key reasons for the higher price:

Solid Electrolytes: Unlike lithium-ion batteries, which use liquid electrolytes, solid-state batteries use solid electrolytes made from ceramics, polymers, or sulfides. These materials are more expensive to produce and require specialized manufacturing techniques2.

Lithium Metal Anodes: Solid-state batteries often use lithium metal anodes instead of graphite anodes found in lithium-ion batteries. This increases the energy density but also raises the cost due to the higher lithium content in the anode.

Production Challenges: Solid-state batteries are still in the early stages of commercial development. Scaling up production and optimizing processes to reduce costs is a significant challenge3.

Safety and Performance: Solid-state batteries offer improved safety and higher energy density, which makes them more desirable for applications like electric vehicles. However, these benefits come at a premium.

Would you like to explore how solid-state batteries might impact the future of electric vehicles or discuss other emerging battery technologies?

https://www.laserax.com/blog/solid-state-vs-lithium-ion-batteries

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Even smaller than the BYD lineup:

Why is this Chinese electric car the world's best selling car | Watch



Thursday, March 27, 2025

Solid-State

 --CNN profile on China's BYD:

https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/26/cars/china-byd-profile-tesla-rival-intl-hnk/index.html


--META on electric vehicle fires:

Electric vehicles; is catching fire a real possibility for the battery in an electric car in a collision?

Yes, catching fire is a possibility for the battery in an electric vehicle (EV) in the event of a collision. However, it's relatively rare and manufacturers have implemented various safety measures to minimize the risk.

Causes of EV Battery Fires

Thermal runaway: Overheating of the battery cells can cause a chain reaction, leading to a fire.

Physical damage: Severe impact or penetration of the battery pack can cause short circuits or damage to the cells.

Electrical faults: Malfunctions in the electrical system, such as faulty wiring or connectors, can cause overheating or sparks.

Safety Measures

Reinforced battery packs: Manufacturers use protective casing and reinforced materials to prevent damage to the battery cells.

Cooling systems: Many EVs have built-in cooling systems to regulate battery temperature and prevent overheating.

Safety protocols: Modern EVs have sophisticated safety protocols, such as automatic shutdown and emergency cooling, to prevent or mitigate fires.

Testing and certification: EVs must meet strict safety standards and undergo rigorous testing, including crash tests, to ensure compliance.

Real-World Data

While fires can and do occur, the data suggests that EVs are no more prone to fires than gasoline-powered vehicles:

A study by the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) found that EVs are involved in fewer fires per mile traveled than gasoline-powered vehicles.

Data from the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) shows that EVs have a lower rate of fires per vehicle mile traveled than gasoline-powered vehicles.

Conclusion

While the risk of an EV battery fire in a collision exists, it's relatively low. Manufacturers have implemented robust safety measures, and real-world data suggests that EVs are no more prone to fires than gasoline-powered vehicles.


If and when a fire does occur, is it more difficult to put out than a normal fire?

Yes, electric vehicle (EV) battery fires can be more challenging to extinguish than traditional fires. Here's why:

Unique Characteristics of EV Battery Fires

High-energy density: EV batteries contain a high amount of energy, which can lead to intense fires.

Thermal runaway: EV battery fires can spread quickly due to thermal runaway, a self-sustaining chain reaction that can't be easily stopped.

Lithium-ion chemistry: EV batteries use lithium-ion chemistry, which can produce a lot of heat and release flammable gases when burning.

Re-ignition risk: EV battery fires can re-ignite even after being extinguished, due to the residual heat and energy stored in the battery.

Challenges in Extinguishing EV Battery Fires

Conventional extinguishing agents ineffective: Traditional extinguishing agents like water, foam, or dry chemicals may not be effective in extinguishing EV battery fires.

Specialized extinguishing agents required: EV battery fires often require specialized extinguishing agents, such as lithium-ion specific extinguishers or clean agent extinguishers.

Cooling and smothering required: To effectively extinguish an EV battery fire, it's essential to cool the battery and smother the fire to prevent re-ignition.

Longer extinguishing time: EV battery fires can take longer to extinguish due to the high energy density and thermal runaway.

Best Practices for Extinguishing EV Battery Fires

Use specialized extinguishing agents: Use lithium-ion specific extinguishers or clean agent extinguishers designed for EV battery fires.

Cool the battery: Use copious amounts of water or other cooling agents to cool the battery and prevent re-ignition.

Smother the fire: Use a smothering agent, such as a fire blanket or a Class K extinguisher, to prevent re-ignition.

Follow manufacturer guidelines: Familiarize yourself with the manufacturer's guidelines for extinguishing EV battery fires.

Conclusion

Extinguishing EV battery fires requires specialized knowledge, equipment, and techniques. It's essential for first responders and firefighters to receive training on how to handle EV battery fires safely and effectively.


Are there any statistics on fire rates, and what are the units?

Electric vehicles (EVs) have a relatively low fire rate compared to gasoline-powered vehicles. According to recent statistics, EVs are involved in approximately 25 fires for every 100,000 sold. In contrast, gasoline-powered vehicles are involved in around 1,530 fires for every 100,000 sold, while hybrid vehicles have a slightly higher rate of 3,475 fires for every 100,000 sold .

To put these numbers into perspective, out of 3,400 vehicle fires each year in Sweden, EVs account for only 0.4% of fires, while hybrid vehicles account for 1.5% . Additionally, a study found that EVs are actually less likely to cause or be involved in fires than gasoline-powered or hybrid vehicles ².

It's worth noting that while EV fires are rare, they can be more challenging to extinguish due to the unique properties of lithium-ion batteries. However, manufacturers and safety organizations are working to address these concerns and improve safety protocols .


--Source from META:

--COPILOT on solid-state batteries (ICE refers to internal combustion engine)

Are there electric vehicles that use solid-state batteries?

Yes, there are electric vehicles that use solid-state batteries, though they are still in the early stages of development. For example, Mercedes-Benz has begun testing the world's first production EV equipped with a solid-state battery, achieving impressive milestones like over 621 miles of driving range. Toyota is also working on solid-state battery technology and plans to commercialize it in the coming years2. These batteries promise significant improvements in energy density, safety, and charging speed compared to traditional lithium-ion batteries.

Exciting times for EV innovation, wouldn't you agree?

--Where things stand:


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Canadian!?

For a lighter view...

                                                      *     *     *

So the boom has been lowered with respect to car imports to

the US. But my question is this: are those cars and trucks Ontario

plants sending to the US really Canadian cars at all. Are they not

actually American cars assembled in Canada. A Ford pick-up truck

is a Ford pic-up truck. ..Walks like duck, is a duck!! Probably comes

with lower taxes or other advantages for Ford, the Multinational.


Back in the days of my youth, someone would have all this well documented

and part of the political debate. Looking at you, NDP.


Might this not be the moment for a Canadian car!?

Wednesday, March 26, 2025

BYD Story

 



META AI:

Did Apple influence the development of the Blade battery system used by China's BYD electric automakers?

Apple indeed played a significant role in influencing the development of the Blade battery system used by China's BYD electric automakers. The two companies secretly collaborated on long-range electric vehicle battery technology as part of Apple's now-defunct Apple Car project .

Their partnership, which began around 2017, focused on creating a battery system using lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cells. Apple brought its expertise in advanced battery packs and heat management, while BYD contributed its manufacturing prowess and advancements in LFP cell technology .

Although Apple ultimately canceled its car project in February 2024, the collaboration with BYD reportedly influenced the development of BYD's Blade battery system. The Blade battery has become a key driver of BYD's success in the competitive EV market, offering increased range, improved safety, and lower production costs .

Interestingly, BYD maintains that the concept for the Blade battery originated with its own engineers, who independently developed the LFP Blade battery technology. However, the company acknowledges that its collaboration with Apple did contribute to the battery system's evolution .


COPILOT:

Am I correct in thinking that the different BYD vehicles each exist for different uses, and under different conditions?

Yes, you're absolutely correct! BYD designs its diverse range of vehicles with different purposes and conditions in mind. Here's a breakdown of how BYD tailors its vehicles for various uses:

Passenger Cars: BYD offers electric sedans, SUVs, and compact cars designed for everyday use, urban driving, and personal transportation. Models like the BYD Han or Atto 3 focus on efficiency, comfort, and performance for regular consumers.

Commercial Vehicles: BYD manufactures electric buses, trucks, and vans to address the needs of public transportation and goods delivery. These vehicles are optimized for durability and efficiency over long distances or heavy-duty tasks.

Luxury Market: BYD has entered the premium segment with models like the YangWang U8 and U9, which emphasize luxury and cutting-edge technology, catering to high-end consumers.

Global Adaptation: BYD customizes certain models for specific markets. For example, vehicles sold in colder climates may have improved thermal battery management systems, while those in tropical areas might prioritize cooling.

This flexibility and focus on different conditions have allowed BYD to thrive in both domestic and international markets. Let me know if you'd like to explore specific BYD models or features!

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Does Hyundai make an electric car?

Yes, Hyundai has a strong lineup of electric vehicles (EVs). Some of their popular models include:

IONIQ 5: A futuristic crossover with advanced features like ultra-fast charging and a range of over 400 kilometers.
IONIQ 6: A sleek sedan designed for efficiency and comfort, also offering impressive range and cutting-edge technology.
KONA Electric: A compact SUV with a range of up to 415 kilometers, perfect for daily commutes and longer trips.

Hyundai is committed to innovation in the EV space, with features like bi-directional charging and their dedicated e-GMP platform for efficient design and performance.

What kind of battery do these cars have?

Hyundai's electric vehicles, including the IONIQ 5, IONIQ 6, and KONA Electric, use lithium-ion polymer batteries. Here's a quick breakdown:

IONIQ 5: Available with two battery options—58 kWh and 77.4 kWh. These batteries are designed for high energy density and fast charging, supporting Hyundai's 800V ultra-fast charging system.
IONIQ 6: Equipped with a 77.4 kWh battery, offering a range of up to 338 miles (544 km) on a single charge. It also supports ultra-fast charging, allowing a 10-80% charge in just 18 minutes.
KONA Electric: Comes with two battery capacities—39.2 kWh and 64 kWh. The larger battery provides a range of up to 415 km (258 miles) per charge.

These batteries are optimized for performance, efficiency, and safety, making Hyundai's EVs competitive in the market. Let me know if you'd like to explore more about their features!


Are there sufficient charging points to be able to travel cross-country in Canada? 

Yes, Canada has a growing network of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations, making cross-country travel increasingly feasible. There are over 9,458 charging stations across the country, including 8,198 Level 2 stations and 1,580 DC fast chargers. Level 2 chargers provide 16–32 kilometers of range per hour of charging, while DC fast chargers offer 95–130 kilometers in just 20 minutes1.

Major highways and metropolitan areas are well-covered, thanks to networks like Electrify Canada and The Electric Circuit. These networks offer ultra-fast and hyper-fast charging options, ensuring convenience for long-distance travelers.

If you're planning a road trip, I can help you find charging stations along your route! Let me know if you'd like assistance.

How would charging cost compare with gasoline use?

Charging an electric vehicle (EV) is generally more cost-effective than fueling a gasoline-powered car. Here's a comparison based on Canadian averages:
Electricity Costs: Charging an EV at home costs around $0.10–$0.20 per kWh, depending on your province. For example, fully charging a 75 kWh battery (like in a Tesla Model 3) would cost $7.50–$15.00, providing a range of about 500 km2.
Gasoline Costs: Gasoline prices in Canada average around $1.74 per liter. A car with a fuel efficiency of 8 liters per 100 km would cost about $13.92 to travel 100 km, or $69.60 for 500 km.
This means EVs can be significantly cheaper to "fuel," especially if you charge at home during off-peak hours. Public charging stations may cost more, but they still tend to be more affordable than gasoline.


What would it cost a Chinese person to run one of these models?

Running a BYD electric vehicle (EV) in China is generally cost-effective due to the country's relatively low electricity prices and the efficiency of BYD's vehicles. Here's a breakdown:

Electricity Costs: The average electricity price in China is around $0.08 per kWh2. For a BYD EV with a 60 kWh battery, a full charge would cost approximately $4.80, providing a range of about 400–500 kilometers, depending on the model.
Annual Mileage: The average annual mileage for vehicles in China is about 11,660 kilometers. Assuming a BYD EV consumes around 15 kWh per 100 kilometers, the total electricity cost for a year would be roughly $140.
Maintenance: EVs like BYD's typically have lower maintenance costs compared to internal combustion engine vehicles, as they have fewer moving parts and no need for oil changes. Annual maintenance costs might range from $100 to $300, depending on the model and usage.
Insurance and Taxes: Insurance premiums and taxes vary by region and vehicle type but are generally competitive for BYD's models.

Overall, the running costs of a BYD EV in China are significantly lower than those of a gasoline-powered vehicle, making them an attractive option for cost-conscious drivers. If you'd like a more detailed calculation for a specific model, let me know!


How many passenger cars are currently on the road in Canada, the US and China. Thus, how many cars per person for each?

Here’s what I found:
Canada: There are approximately 25.7 million passenger cars on the road. With a population of 41.5 million, this equates to about 0.62 cars per person.
United States: The U.S. has around 291.1 million passenger cars. With a population of 347.3 million, this results in approximately 0.84 cars per person.
China: China has about 294 million passenger cars. With a population of 1.416 billion, this translates to roughly 0.21 cars per person.

The U.S. leads in cars per person, followed by Canada, while China has a significantly lower ratio due to its larger population. Let me know if you'd like further insights!

Am I correct in thinking the Great Wall of China was erected to keep horseback riding intruders out? Is the notion of horsepower ever used in China?

You're absolutely right that the Great Wall of China was built, in part, to defend against horseback-riding nomadic groups from the Eurasian Steppe, such as the Xiongnu and later the Mongols. The wall served as a formidable barrier, with watchtowers and garrison stations to monitor and repel invasions. It also helped regulate trade and migration along the Silk Road.

As for "horsepower," the term is indeed used in China, just as it is globally, to measure the power of engines. While its origins are rooted in the physical strength of horses, the concept has evolved to describe mechanical power. Interestingly, horses have a deep cultural significance in China, symbolizing strength and speed, and they played a crucial role in the country's history, from agriculture to warfare.

If you'd like to explore more about the Great Wall or the cultural importance of horses in China, let me know!

Have there been documented cases of fires with Blade batteries and were these particularly difficult to extinguish, as is the case with electrical fires generally?

Yes, there have been documented cases of fires involving Blade batteries, although they are relatively rare. For instance, a BYD Han equipped with Blade batteries caught fire two days after an independent crash test. While Blade batteries are designed to be safer than traditional lithium-ion batteries, no battery technology is entirely immune to fire risks under extreme conditions.

Electrical fires, including those involving EV batteries, can be challenging to extinguish due to the chemical reactions within the battery cells. Specialized fire extinguishers, such as Class C extinguishers, are required to handle these fires effectively3. Additionally, EV fires may reignite due to thermal runaway, making them more complex to manage compared to fires in internal combustion engine vehicles.

Blade batteries have undergone rigorous safety tests, including nail penetration and high-temperature exposure, to minimize fire risks. However, proper handling and adherence to safety protocols remain crucial to prevent and manage such incidents. If you'd like to explore more about battery safety or fire prevention, let me know!

Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Stunning

 These figures - for Canada - are so stunning, I will need to check them against

other sources...

COPILOT:

How much has the US spent on aid to Ukraine since the war started in Feb 2022?

Since the start of the war in February 2022, the United States has provided significant aid to Ukraine. Estimates suggest that the total aid allocated by the U.S. is approximately $183 billion as of December 2024. This includes military, humanitarian, and financial assistance2.

If you'd like, I can break down the types of aid or share more details about how this support has been distributed. Let me know!


By how much has the US debt grown in the same period?

Since February 2022, the U.S. national debt has grown significantly. It increased from approximately $30 trillion at the start of 2022 to over $36.2 trillion by January 20252. This growth reflects various factors, including increased government spending on defense, economic stimulus programs, and other initiatives.

If you'd like, I can help break down the reasons behind this increase or explore related topics!


Divide 183 billion by 6.2 trillion...

Dividing 183 billion by 6.2 trillion gives approximately 0.0295, or 2.95% when expressed as a percentage. Let me know if you want to explore anything else!


How much aid has Canada furnished to Ukraine since Feb 2022?

Since February 2022, Canada has provided over $19.5 billion in total assistance to Ukraine. This includes approximately $4.5 billion in military aid, which covers equipment like Leopard 2 tanks, anti-tank weapons, and drones2. Canada has also contributed to humanitarian and financial support, helping Ukraine defend its sovereignty and recover from the impacts of the conflict.

If you'd like, I can share more details about specific contributions or Canada's role in international efforts!


By how much has Canada's debt increased in that same period?

Since February 2022, Canada's national debt has increased by approximately $96.5 billion, rising from around $1.423 trillion in early 2022 to $1.519 trillion by March 20242. This growth reflects various factors, including pandemic recovery measures, economic stimulus programs, and increased government spending.

If you'd like, I can help break down the reasons behind this increase or explore related topics!


Divide 19.5 billion by 96.5 billion...

Dividing 19.5 billion by 96.5 billion gives approximately 0.202, or 20.2% when expressed as a percentage. If you'd like me to help with anything else, just let me know!


Monday, March 24, 2025

Ongoing

 The saga of the American Treasuries continues...                                                                                             


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Pinterest, which I follow for its great dessert recipes, surprised me this morning

by sending me maps of China!?

The Chinese Provinces:


                                                              

From Pinterest:









Sunday, March 23, 2025

F-47

 Collected dribs and drabs about the new Boeing F-47 Stealth

fighter the US just contracted for:


As for the role of the Boeing F-47 in the U.S. military, it will be positioned as an air superiority fighter. The primary function of these planes would be to establish and maintain control of the skies in combat zones. This focus on air dominance is critical, as future military conflicts will likely involve complex air-to-air combat, with multiple adversaries and advanced technologies at play.

One of the most exciting aspects of the F-47 is its integration with an upcoming technology called Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA). This technology entails the integration of small but potent military drones that work alongside the manned fighter to carry out a variety of missions. These drones can perform tasks ranging from electronic warfare to missile launches, significantly enhancing the F-47's capabilities while reducing the risk to pilots.

Read More: https://www.slashgear.com/1816355/new-boeing-f-47-fighter-jet-6th-generation/

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However, he hinted for the first time ever that the United States will consider selling “toned down” versions of the F-47 to “certain” allies — a break from how the F-47’s predecessor, the F-22, was barred from exports. (Trump also noted “We like to tone them down by about 10 percent, which probably makes sense, because someday maybe they’re not our allies.”) 

https://breakingdefense.com/2025/03/boeing-wins-sixth-gen-fighter-ngad-air-force-lockheed-loss-trump-hegseth/

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Alongside Boeing’s role in producing the main aircraft, companies like Anduril Industries and General Atomics are developing the semi-autonomous drones that will work in coordination with the F-47 in combat.

The Air Force has deemed NGAD essential for maintaining an edge over global adversaries, particularly China, which has been rapidly advancing its own military aircraft technology.
...
The F-47 program represents a major shift in American air combat strategy, integrating manned and unmanned systems like never before. While the program still faces challenges in terms of cost and design, the Pentagon’s selection of Boeing signals a clear commitment to pushing forward with the next generation of fighter aircraft.

With development now officially underway, the U.S. Air Force is preparing to field the F-47 in the 2030s, ensuring that American pilots—and their robotic wingmen—remain dominant in the skies.

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Can you explain more about stealth technology?

Stealth technology, often referred to as "low observable technology," is a fascinating field designed to make aircraft, ships, and other vehicles less detectable to radar, infrared, sonar, and other detection methods. Here's a breakdown of how it works:

Radar Absorption: Special materials, known as radar-absorbent materials (RAM), are used to reduce the reflection of radar waves. These materials absorb the waves instead of bouncing them back to the radar source.

Shaping: The design of stealth vehicles often includes smooth, angled surfaces that deflect radar waves away from the source, minimizing the radar cross-section (RCS).

Infrared Suppression: To reduce heat signatures, stealth aircraft use advanced cooling systems and exhaust designs to disperse heat from engines, making them harder to detect with infrared sensors.

Acoustic Reduction: Noise from engines and other systems is minimized to avoid detection by sound-based systems.

Electromagnetic Emission Control: Stealth systems limit the emission of radio waves and other signals that could give away the vehicle's position.

Active Countermeasures: Some stealth systems include jamming devices or decoys to confuse enemy detection systems.

Stealth technology has been a game-changer in modern warfare, allowing vehicles like the F-22 Raptor and B-2 Spirit to operate in hostile environments with reduced risk of detection. It's a blend of physics, engineering, and innovation that continues to evolve.

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My little joke:

The proposed Boeing F-47 will use stealth technology, but you can still take a picture...?

Yes, stealth technology primarily aims to make the aircraft less detectable by radar, infrared sensors, and other electronic surveillance methods—not the human eye or standard cameras. If you're close enough, you can still visually spot and photograph the F-47, just like other stealth aircraft such as the F-22 Raptor or B-2 Spirit.

However, stealth designs can make these planes harder to identify at a distance due to their unique shapes and muted surface materials. In low-light or foggy conditions, they might blend in more effectively with the surroundings. So, capturing a clear image of the F-47 might take a bit of effort, but it’s absolutely possible!

Are you intrigued by the way these aircraft blend innovation and aesthetics?

                                                                               



Saturday, March 22, 2025

Electric_C(2)

 Does Canada currently levy tariffs on Chinese imports, notably electric vehicles?

Yes, Canada currently imposes tariffs on Chinese imports, including electric vehicles (EVs). Since October 2024, a 100% tariff has been applied to Chinese-made EVs, along with a 25% surtax on steel and aluminum products from China. These measures aim to protect Canada's emerging EV industry and domestic manufacturing4. However, this has sparked retaliatory tariffs from China on Canadian agricultural and food products5.

The policy has stirred debate, with some advocating for easing these tariffs to make EVs more affordable, while others argue they are essential to safeguard local industries.


Does Canada currently levy imports on Tesla electric vehicles from the US?

Yes, Canada currently imposes a 25% tariff on electric vehicles, including Tesla models, imported from the United States. This measure is part of a broader set of retaliatory tariffs introduced in response to U.S. trade policies.

This tariff significantly impacts Tesla's pricing in Canada, as all Tesla vehicles sold there are manufactured in the U.S. It has also sparked discussions about the affordability of EVs and the future of the Canadian EV market.


Are there EV imports that Canada does not have tariffs on?

Yes, Canada does not impose tariffs on all electric vehicle (EV) imports. For instance, EVs manufactured in countries like South Korea, Japan, and Europe are generally not subject to tariffs, provided they meet specific trade agreement criteria. South Korean automaker Kia, for example, is actively targeting the Canadian market with models like the EV5, which is fully manufactured in South Korea.

This approach allows Canadian consumers to access a variety of EV options without the added cost of tariffs, unlike vehicles imported from the U.S. or China. It's an interesting dynamic in the EV market, don't you think?



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BYD: