Thursday, November 1, 2018

Migrations


source: Huffington Post Quebec, Les Blogues, 30/8/2018
author: François LaRochelle
translation: doxa-louise

François LaRochelle was a Canadian Diplomat, and is currently a Fellow
with the Institut d’études internationales de Montréal (UQÀM).

MIGRATIONS: the issue is planetary

The United Nations’ agency responsible for refugees estimates
at 66 million the number of people currently displaced in the world; the highest 
number ever recorded.


                               Bangladesh had to deal with a massive number of Rohingya
                               refugees. The largest refugee camp in the world is now established
                               there, a half-million people.

The migrations question has become a major election issue in a number of
countries. Be that in Europe or North America. Without forgetting Asia or the 
Middle East. The massive arrival of migrants has caused division in the European 
Union. Welcoming one million and a half refugees from Syria and neighboring 
lands has put in peril the political survival of Chancellor Angela Merkel.

With our Southern neighbors, politicians have used immigration to demagogic ends.
In Hungary and Poland, one evokes the ‘protection of Christian civilization’
against the ‘hordes’ of Muslims to refuse entry to refugees. One might think oneself
back to the time when the Ottoman Empire was at the doors of Vienna! In
Austria and Italy, governments have been put together as a function of 
anti-immigration views.

Millions of displaced people

In total, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) estimates
at 66 million the actual count of refugees or displaced persons in the world. Thus
the highest number ever known. The reasons behind this are numerous: wars in the
Middle East, violence and crime in Central America, poverty in Africa, genocidal 
practices in Burma, etc. The most recent crisis has seen two million Venezuelans
leave their countries and seek refuge in neighboring countries and even all the way 
to Chili.

«Climate change will cause droughts and flooding, which will force populations 
to leave their lands for a better life or even survival.

Unfortunately, these statistics will only get worse. Not necessarily because conflicts
will multiply, although, but certainly because climate change will cause droughts and 
flooding, which will force populations to leave their lands for a better life or even 
survival.

The UN in a recent report predicts that 800 million citizens of Asia (Pakistan and India,
in particular) will be negatively affected by higher temperatures. These countries
quite obviously are not equipped to deal. Lack of rain is bad for crops in Central America, 
pushing farmers toward the North. This is not about to reverse. Neither is desertification 
in Africa. It is predictable that increasingly difficult access to drinking water will 
destabilize the Middle-East even more, given a population in constant augmentation. 
Iran is grappling with this problem. Egypt, with 100 million inhabitants, has but the 
Nile to count on.

Looking for solutions to mass migrations

In order to allay the fears of an uneasy electorate, western leaders are looking for 
solutions. Thus the European Union has tried to stem the migrations from Africa
with financial aid to the countries of origin or transit, as is the case for Niger. With
a certain level of success, it would seem.

Brussels helps Libya repatriate its citizens. President Trump pummels the idea of a  
wall with Mexico and reinforces border controls, to the point of separating children 
and parents. Canada tries to convince Haitian or Central American communities that 
entering the country illegally will not lead to automatically getting refugee status. We 
are currently seeing fewer arrivals on the coasts of Europe, at the Mexican border and 
to Canada as well. But for how long?

«It is illusory to think richer countries will ever be able to halt the flow of 
migrants to their doorstep.

Given the problems caused by climate, the presence of incompetent leadership 
clinging to power as in Venezuela, Nicaragua, bloody regional conflicts and despair 
in African youth or that of the Maghreb who prefer risking their lives crossing the 
Mediterranean to dying a slow death at home, it is illusory to think richer countries 
will ever be able to halt the flow of migrants to their doorstep.

Thus, western governments will finally have no choice but to accept more migrants, 
chosen or not. And help them integrate. It is statistically impossible, notwithstanding 
what leaders or right-wing candidates might be saying, to carry on and believe they 
will be able to stop economic migrants and the oppressed from wanting a better life 
in our countries, legally or not.

The solution  would be, of course,  for the international community to act concretely to 
protect the environment, find solutions to regional conflicts and work for the economic 
betterment of the poorer countries. Unfortunately, this seems unlikely for the present 
given some of our leaders, the strengthening of nationalism for some, and the inability
of nations to work together in a progressively fragmented world.

«It is not with short-sighted projects, trying to complicate matters for migrants or 
their integration, that this issue will be settled.

It is not with short-sighted projects, trying to complicate matters for migrants or their 
integration, that this issue will be settled. This but pushes back the inevitable. We need 
an international strategy that goes beyond slogans or unfulfillable promises. There is 
no other choice.

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