It is the second anniversary of the military confrontation in Ukraine. We will
no doubt hear a lot about Ukraine's need for more weapons, going into 2025 and
beyond. Not an area of expertise, for me. Allow me to comment, instead, on the
demographic situation within the Russian Federation.
A stiking fact: Russia lost 27 million people during World War 2. The entire
population of Canada at the time was perhaps 11 million. It was a staggering
loss, and rebuilding after that war a monumental task. The current population
is perhaps 147 million, rather then the 185 million one might expect today.
.86 males to female is perhaps the worst imbalance anywhere.
For Canada: .98 males to female
From Bing/ChatGPT:
You
Demography, why is gender inequality in older age groups more pronounced in Russia.
Copilot
Demography, particularly the gender inequality observed in older age groups, is a multifaceted phenomenon. Let’s explore why this disparity is more pronounced in Russia:
Historical Context:
World War II (known as the Great Patriotic War in Russia) had a profound impact.
High male mortality: Millions of men died during the war, leading to a significant gender imbalance.
The war’s aftermath influenced population dynamics for decades.
Life Expectancy:
Russian women have consistently enjoyed longer life expectancy than men.
Factors contributing to this disparity include:
Health behaviors: Men tend to engage in riskier behaviors (smoking, alcohol consumption, etc.).
Occupational hazards: Male-dominated industries often involve dangerous work.
Healthcare access: Women are more likely to seek medical care.
Healthcare System:
The Soviet healthcare system prioritized women’s health.
Maternal and child health received significant attention.
This legacy continues, benefiting older women.
Social Roles and Family Structure:
Traditional gender roles persist.
Women often take on caregiving responsibilities for children and elderly family members.
Men face stress related to work and societal expectations.
Economic Transition:
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, economic instability affected men disproportionately.
Unemployment, alcoholism, and other challenges impacted men’s health.
Migration Patterns:
Male migration for work or military service affects gender ratios.
Men leaving rural areas for cities or abroad contribute to the imbalance.
Low Birth Rates:
Russia faces low fertility rates.
Fewer births mean fewer young men entering the population.
Social Isolation:
Older women often outlive their male partners.
Widowhood leads to social isolation for women.
Policy Implications:
Addressing gender inequality requires comprehensive policies:
Health promotion: Target men’s health behaviors.
Social support: Combat isolation among elderly women.
Family-friendly policies: Encourage childbirth and shared caregiving.
In summary, Russia’s gender inequality in older age groups results from a complex interplay of historical events, cultural norms, health disparities, and socioeconomic factors. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for informed policy decisions. π΅π΄π·πΊ
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Thus, on this difficult day; how about healthier men for the Russian Federation!!
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Copilot
The rise of the Bolsheviks to power in Russia was a pivotal moment in history. Let’s explore how they achieved this:
Party Split:
In 1903, during the Second Party Congress of the Russian Social Democratic Labour Party, a vote split the party into two factions:
Mensheviks (meaning “minority”).
Bolsheviks (meaning “majority”).
Despite their name, the Bolsheviks were initially a minority led by Vladimir Lenin 1.
Bloody Sunday:
On January 22, 1905, a peaceful protest in St. Petersburg led by a priest resulted in unarmed demonstrators being fired upon by the Tsar’s troops.
This event, known as Bloody Sunday, shattered trust in the Tsar.
Riding the wave of anger, the Social Revolutionary Party gained prominence and established the October Manifesto.
Lenin urged the Bolsheviks to take violent action, but the Mensheviks rejected this approach 1.
Early 1910s:
The Bolsheviks remained a minority within the party.
Lenin was in exile in Europe, and they boycotted the Duma elections.
There was little demand for revolutionary politics during this period of relative peace.
The Tsar’s moderate reforms discouraged support for extremists 1.
World War I:
Initially, the Bolsheviks faded into the background due to the rallying cry of national unity at the outbreak of the war.
However, after crushing defeats of the Russian army, sentiments changed.
By the end of 1916, Russia had suffered 5.3 million deaths, desertions, and prisoners of war 1.
The October Revolution (1917):
Amid widespread dissatisfaction and economic hardship, the Bolsheviks seized power.
Their appeal to the people’s desire for peace, bread, and land led to the overthrow of the Tsar.
The establishment of the Soviet government marked a turning point in Russian history 23.
In summary, the Bolsheviks capitalized on social discontent, wartime losses, and their revolutionary message to take control of Russia, ultimately shaping the course of the 20th century. π·πΊπ΄π
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Copilot
Certainly! The events in Russia played a significant role in triggering World War I. Let’s explore how:
Austria-Hungary’s Declaration of War on Serbia:
The sequence began with Austria-Hungary declaring war on Serbia, a Russian ally.
In response, Russia issued an ultimatum to Vienna via Saint Petersburg, warning Austria-Hungary against attacking Serbia.
Russia’s Interest in the Balkans:
Although Russia had no formal treaty obligation to Serbia, it emphasized its interest in controlling the Balkans.
Russia viewed this as a long-term strategic goal to gain a military advantage over Germany and Austria-Hungary.
Tsar Nicholas II’s Decision to Mobilize:
Tsar Nicholas II ordered the mobilization of Russian forces on July 30, 1914, to deter Austria-Hungary from invading Serbia.
Historian Christopher Clark considers this Russian general mobilization a critical decision during the August crisis.
Germany’s Declaration of War on Russia:
When Russia did not comply with Germany’s demand to demobilize, Germany declared war on Russia on August 1, 1914.
Germany prioritized its offensive against France, leading to further escalation.
Impact on World History:
World War I had far-reaching consequences, including the fall of imperial dynasties (including Russia’s), the Bolshevik Revolution in Russia, and the destabilization of European society.
In summary, Russia’s involvement in World War I was intertwined with its strategic interests, alliances, and the broader geopolitical context. π·πΊππ₯
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